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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Heerenveen

T T S T S

1–1

Full-time

Vitesse

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,2

4,5

Scored

2,0

3,2

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

7 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 10

17 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	De Graafschap	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Excelsior	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.