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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

PSV Eindhoven

S T T U T

2–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 46%

54%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

77%

38%

Both score Ø 62%

62%

Average goals

3,5

2,6

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · Heerenveen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	12	2	0	+37	38
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	10	2	2	+26	32
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	7	3	3	+12	24
4	Utrecht	14	7	2	5	+7	23
5	Vitesse	13	7	2	4	+5	23
6	Willem II	14	7	2	5	-2	23
7	Heerenveen	13	5	6	2	+6	21
8	Heracles	14	6	3	5	+3	21
9	Groningen	14	6	3	5	+3	21
10	Feyenoord	14	5	6	3	+1	21
11	Twente	13	5	3	5	-1	18
12	Sparta Rotterdam	13	4	4	5	-2	16
13	Zwolle	14	4	1	9	-11	13
14	FC Emmen	13	4	1	8	-12	13
15	For Sittard	14	3	3	8	-16	12
16	Den Haag	14	3	2	9	-9	11
17	VVV Venlo	13	3	0	10	-25	9
18	Waalwijk	13	1	1	11	-22	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+14	16
3	Utrecht	7	5	0	2	+11	15
4	Heracles	7	4	1	2	+8	13
5	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Groningen	7	4	1	2	+6	13
7	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	FC Emmen	7	4	1	2	+4	13
9	Willem II	7	4	1	2	+1	13
10	Feyenoord	7	3	3	1	+3	12
11	Twente	7	3	2	2	+4	11
12	For Sittard	7	3	2	2	+4	11
13	Heerenveen	7	2	5	0	+2	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	1	2	+4	10
15	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	+0	10
16	VVV Venlo	6	2	0	4	-10	6
17	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Waalwijk	6	1	0	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	2	2	+4	11
4	Heerenveen	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Willem II	7	3	1	3	-3	10
7	Feyenoord	7	2	3	2	-2	9
8	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Utrecht	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Heracles	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Twente	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Den Haag	7	2	0	5	-4	6
13	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	3	3	-6	6
14	Zwolle	7	1	0	6	-11	3
15	VVV Venlo	7	1	0	6	-15	3
16	Waalwijk	7	0	1	6	-15	1
17	For Sittard	7	0	1	6	-20	1
18	FC Emmen	6	0	0	6	-16	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.