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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Vitesse
T U U T S
1–1
Full-time
Heerenveen
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 37%
38%
35%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
63%
71%
Both score Ø 67%
69%
65%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 8. · Heerenveen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 18 15 1 2 +28 46
2 Ajax 18 13 2 3 +37 41
3 AZ Alkmaar 19 12 3 4 +15 39
4 Zwolle 19 10 6 3 +6 36
5 Feyenoord 17 9 5 3 +21 32
6 Den Haag 18 8 3 7 -1 27
7 Utrecht 16 7 4 5 -3 25
8 Vitesse 16 6 5 5 +7 23
9 Heerenveen 17 6 5 6 -3 23
10 VVV Venlo 19 5 8 6 -4 23
11 Heracles 18 6 4 8 -11 22
12 Excelsior 18 6 3 9 -6 21
13 Groningen 18 5 5 8 +0 20
14 Twente 19 4 4 11 -9 16
15 Willem II 18 4 4 10 -13 16
16 NAC Breda 19 4 4 11 -16 16
17 Roda 19 3 3 13 -23 12
18 Sparta Rotterdam 18 2 5 11 -25 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Heerenveen
0–1 D. Høegh
own goal
13′
37′
P. van Amersfoort 0–2
Half-time 0–2
Thulani Serero 🟨
62′
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ B. Linssen
73′
73′
🔁 R. Ghoochannejhad
↦ H. Veerman
84′
🔁 J. Bruijn
↦ S. Schaars
86′
🔁 M. Vlap
↦ P. van Amersfoort
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
37 G. Kashia D
2 F. Dabo D
5 M. Miazga D
43 L. Faye D
17 T. Serero M
10 T. Bruns M
7 M. Rashica F
19 M. Mount M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
Bench (8)
16 M. van Bergen
6 A. Kruiswijk
14 L. Castaignos
23 M. Ali
24 J. Houwen
29 J. Lelieveld
48 J. Schuurman
50 T. Oude Kotte

Coach: H. Fraser

Heerenveen

4-3-3
24 M. Hansen G
3 D. Høegh D
14 D. Bulthuis D
2 D. Dumfries D
5 K. Pierie D
6 S. Schaars M
21 Y. Kobayashi M
19 P. van Amersfoort M
13 A. Zeneli F
20 H. Veerman F
10 M. Ødegaard F
Bench (10)
9 R. Ghoochannejhad
26 J. Bruijn
18 M. Vlap
23 T. Doornbusch
4 N. Næss
7 M. Rojas
12 D. Schmidt
16 L. Woudenberg
17 N. Mihajlović
25 J. Bekkema

Coach: J. Streppel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.