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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
4–2
Full-time
Den Haag
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 24%
29%
19%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
67%
52%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

44% Possession 56%
21 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 12. · Den Haag 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 21 16 2 3 +43 50
2 AZ Alkmaar 21 15 2 4 +31 47
3 Feyenoord 21 11 7 3 +11 40
4 Willem II 22 12 4 6 +5 40
5 PSV Eindhoven 22 11 6 5 +21 39
6 Vitesse 22 10 5 7 +9 35
7 Utrecht 21 10 4 7 +12 34
8 Groningen 22 9 5 8 +4 32
9 Heracles 22 8 5 9 +4 29
10 Heerenveen 22 7 8 7 +3 29
11 FC Emmen 22 7 4 11 -14 25
12 Sparta Rotterdam 21 6 6 9 -6 24
13 Twente 22 6 6 10 -11 24
14 For Sittard 22 6 5 11 -22 23
15 Zwolle 22 6 4 12 -16 22
16 VVV Venlo 22 6 3 13 -26 21
17 Den Haag 21 4 5 12 -20 17
18 Waalwijk 22 3 3 16 -28 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Den Haag
17′
S. Pinas 0–1
T. Necid
1–1 A. Auassar
D. Rigo
22′
2–1 P. Joosten
28′
Dante Rigo 🟨
33′
Bart Vriends 🟨
41′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 B. Vriends
D. Rigo
46′
J. Piroe 🔁
↦ R. Ache
55′
62′
🔁 M. Duffy
↦ A. Meijers
67′
C. Summerville 3–2
L. Immers
71′
🔁 O. Bogle
↦ T. Necid
D. Abels 🔁
↦ D. Rigo
79′
D. Duarte 🔁
↦ B. Smeets
82′
86′
🔁 B. Ould-Chikh
↦ T. Băluţă
4–2 A. Harroui
94′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-1-2
1 A. Harush G
2 Jeffry Fortes D
3 B. Vriends D
4 J. Mattheij D
5 L. Faye D
8 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
6 D. Rigo M
7 A. Harroui M
11 P. Joosten F
9 R. Ache F
Bench (7)
13 J. Piroe
16 D. Abels
15 D. Duarte
20 T. Coremans
30 M. Fabrie
14 L. Duarte
12 K. Karami

Coach: H. Fraser

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 L. Koopmans G
8 A. Meijers M
28 L. De Bock D
5 T. Băluţă M
26 S. Stubbs D
19 S. Pinas D
10 L. Immers M
2 D. Malone D
11 J. Goossens F
9 T. Necid F
14 C. Summerville F
Bench (11)
20 M. Duffy
24 O. Bogle
7 B. Ould-Chikh
77 E. Hooi
29 M. Kramer
23 M. van Buren
22 R. Zwinkels
17 D. Bakker
30 E. Falkenburg
12 J. Spence
21 G. Thomas

Coach: A. Pardew

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
U
3,52
B
4,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,90
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.