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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Den Haag
T T T S U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 15. · Sparta Rotterdam 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heerenveen 6 4 2 0 +5 14
2 Feyenoord 6 4 0 2 +6 12
3 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 0 1 +5 12
4 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Vitesse 5 3 1 1 +7 10
6 Ajax 5 3 1 1 +6 10
7 Zwolle 5 3 1 1 +2 10
8 Utrecht 5 3 0 2 +2 9
9 VVV Venlo 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Heracles 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 NAC Breda 6 2 1 3 -4 7
12 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -2 5
13 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
14 Excelsior 5 1 1 3 -4 4
15 Den Haag 5 1 1 3 -5 4
16 Twente 5 1 0 4 -1 3
17 Willem II 6 1 0 5 -8 3
18 Roda 6 0 0 6 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Sparta Rotterdam
Aaron Meijers 🟨
36′
39′
🟨 Sherel Floranus
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. El Khayati
S. Becker
50′
Tom Beugelsdijk 🟨
68′
71′
🔁 L. Brogno
↦ T. Verhaar
E. Duplan 🔁
↦ E. Falkenburg
72′
76′
🔁 D. Duarte
↦ J. Chabot
79′
🔁 D. Volaš
↦ R. Ache
M. Lorenzen 🔁
↦ B. Johnsen
82′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
2 T. Ebuehi D
30 E. Falkenburg F
10 L. Immers M
23 A. El Khayati M
17 D. Bakker M
7 S. Becker F
9 B. Johnsen F
Bench (10)
21 E. Duplan
33 M. Lorenzen
1 I. Groothuizen
3 T. Meißner
14 D. Ladan
15 B. Kuipers
16 H. Asmelash
18 T. Coremans
27 T. David
77 E. Hooi

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 S. Fischer D
3 N. Marfelt D
2 S. Floranus D
6 J. Chabot D
8 R. Sanusi M
4 K. Dougall M
10 R. Mühren M
11 C. Goodwin M
7 T. Verhaar F
9 R. Ache F
Bench (10)
17 L. Brogno
13 D. Duarte
19 D. Volaš
15 G. Dobson
20 A. Craninx
14 F. Bambock
12 F. Holst
16 I. Alhaft
30 B. Janssen
18 S. Spierings

Coach: A. Pastoor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.