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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Charleroi
S U U T S
2–1
Full-time
Mechelen
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 28/27 matches
Win Ø 49%
54%
44%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
46%
74%
Both score Ø 53%
43%
63%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
5 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 3. · Mechelen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 27 20 6 1 +44 66
2 Gent 28 16 7 5 +28 55
3 Charleroi 28 15 9 4 +28 54
4 Antwerp 27 15 6 6 +20 51
5 Standard 28 14 6 8 +18 48
6 Genk 28 14 5 9 +11 47
7 Waregem 28 12 5 11 +6 41
8 Mechelen 27 12 5 10 -2 41
9 Anderlecht 28 9 12 7 +4 39
10 St Truiden 29 10 6 13 -10 36
11 Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
13 Eupen 28 8 6 14 -19 30
14 Kortrijk 27 7 5 15 -11 26
15 Oostende 29 6 4 19 -27 22
16 Waasland-Beveren 24 5 5 14 -29 20
17 Beveren 24 5 5 14 -29 20
18 Cercle Brugge 28 5 4 19 -28 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Mechelen
Half-time 0–0
S. Nicholson 🔁
↦ A. Gholizadeh
58′
60′
🔁 C. Tainmont
↦ N. Storm
1–0 S. Nicholson
K. Rezaei
65′
69′
🟨 Arjan Swinkels
69′
🔁 W. Togui
↦ G. Hairemans
Ryota Morioka 🟨
71′
75′
🔁 D. Vanzeir
↦ R. Schoofs
77′
🟨 Aster Vranckx
78′
W. Togui 1–1
A. Vranckx
2–1 M. Fall
M. Bruno
81′
82′
🟨 Onur Kaya
F. Tsadjout 🔁
↦ M. Bruno
87′
Kaveh Rezaei 🟨
89′
S. Marinos 🔁
↦ J. Kayembe
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-4-3
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
4 M. Busi D
44 R. Morioka M
77 M. Bruno F
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
12 J. Kayembe F
27 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh
10 K. Rezaei F
Bench (7)
16 S. Nicholson
18 F. Tsadjout
17 S. Marinos
5 M. Diagne
22 G. Hendrickx
7 D. Henen
40 R. Descamps

Coach: K. Belhocine

Mechelen

4-5-1
1 B. Castro G
5 A. Swinkels D
3 L. Bijker D
23 T. Peyre D
29 I. Kabore D
8 O. Kaya M
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
40 A. Vranckx M
10 I. de Camargo F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
21 C. Tainmont
9 W. Togui
31 D. Vanzeir
22 A. Corryn
30 J. Vanlerberghe
2 J. Van Cleemput
12 S. Bouzian

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
3,89
B
5,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.