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Eredivisie
Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer
2–1
Full-time
Den Haag
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 25/23 matches
Win Ø 26%
12%
39%
Points per game
0,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
56%
57%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 18. · Den Haag 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 26 22 2 2 +42 68
2 Ajax 25 18 4 3 +45 58
3 AZ Alkmaar 26 17 5 4 +25 56
4 Feyenoord 26 12 6 8 +19 42
5 Utrecht 24 11 7 6 +1 40
6 Zwolle 26 11 7 8 -1 40
7 Heerenveen 25 9 8 8 -1 35
8 Vitesse 22 9 7 6 +11 34
9 Den Haag 23 9 6 8 -2 33
10 VVV Venlo 26 7 12 7 -5 33
11 Heracles 26 9 6 11 -13 33
12 Excelsior 26 9 5 12 -6 32
13 Groningen 25 5 10 10 -5 25
14 NAC Breda 26 6 6 14 -15 24
15 Willem II 26 6 5 15 -16 23
16 Twente 25 4 5 16 -19 17
17 Roda 26 4 5 17 -31 17
18 Sparta Rotterdam 25 3 6 16 -29 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Den Haag
6′
E. Falkenburg 0–1
A. El Khayati
Half-time 0–1
R. Mühren 🔁
↦ D. dos Santos
46′
T. Verhaar 🔁
↦ K. Dougall
46′
54′
🔁 E. Duplan
↦ E. Falkenburg
1–1 M. Kramer
T. Verhaar
62′
71′
🔁 T. Goppel
↦ E. Hooi
D. Duarte 🔁
↦ P. van Moorsel
76′
2–1 R. Mühren
83′
85′
🔁 D. Ladan
↦ D. Bakker
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 J. Huth G
3 S. Fischer D
5 M. Nelom D
2 F. Holst D
4 J. Chabot D
10 P. van Moorsel M
8 R. Sanusi M
6 K. Dougall M
11 S. Ahannach F
9 M. Kramer F
7 D. dos Santos F
Bench (11)
16 R. Mühren
18 T. Verhaar
15 D. Duarte
19 R. Ache
20 L. Nienhuis
21 N. Proschwitz
14 A. Harroui
17 I. Alhaft
12 M. Breuer
13 C. Goodwin
22 B. Vriends

Coach: D. Advocaat

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
20 N. Kuipers D
5 W. Kanon D
2 T. Ebuehi D
30 E. Falkenburg F
10 L. Immers M
23 A. El Khayati M
17 D. Bakker M
77 E. Hooi F
9 B. Johnsen F
Bench (9)
21 E. Duplan
26 T. Goppel
14 D. Ladan
1 I. Groothuizen
6 D. Gorter
15 B. Kuipers
16 H. Asmelash
18 T. Coremans
33 M. Lorenzen

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Reinold Wiedemeijer · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.