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Eredivisie

Referee: Joey Kooij

Waalwijk

T T T U T

0–1

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 22%

13%

30%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

74%

70%

Both score Ø 57%

52%

61%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

8 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 18. · Sparta Rotterdam 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	22	17	2	3	+46	53
2	AZ Alkmaar	22	15	2	5	+29	47
3	Feyenoord	22	12	7	3	+12	43
4	PSV Eindhoven	23	12	6	5	+24	42
5	Willem II	23	12	5	6	+5	41
6	Vitesse	23	11	5	7	+11	38
7	Utrecht	22	10	5	7	+12	35
8	Groningen	23	10	5	8	+5	35
9	Heracles	23	8	5	10	+3	29
10	Heerenveen	23	7	8	8	+1	29
11	Sparta Rotterdam	23	7	6	10	-5	27
12	Twente	23	7	6	10	-9	27
13	FC Emmen	23	7	5	11	-14	26
14	For Sittard	23	6	6	11	-22	24
15	VVV Venlo	23	7	3	13	-25	24
16	Zwolle	23	6	4	13	-17	22
17	Den Haag	23	4	5	14	-25	17
18	Waalwijk	23	3	3	17	-31	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	11	0	1	+34	33
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	2	1	+20	26
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	8	1	2	+18	25
4	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+11	24
5	FC Emmen	11	7	2	2	+9	23
6	Groningen	11	7	1	3	+9	22
7	Willem II	12	6	4	2	+6	22
8	Sparta Rotterdam	12	6	3	3	+10	21
9	Vitesse	11	6	3	2	+9	21
10	For Sittard	12	6	3	3	+5	21
11	Heracles	11	6	1	4	+11	19
12	Utrecht	10	6	0	4	+13	18
13	Twente	12	5	3	4	+2	18
14	VVV Venlo	12	5	2	5	-7	17
15	Heerenveen	12	3	7	2	+1	16
16	Zwolle	11	4	2	5	-3	14
17	Den Haag	12	2	5	5	-6	11
18	Waalwijk	11	2	2	7	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+11	22
2	Ajax	10	6	2	2	+12	20
3	Feyenoord	11	5	4	2	+1	19
4	Willem II	11	6	1	4	-1	19
5	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	+2	17
6	Utrecht	12	4	5	3	-1	17
7	PSV Eindhoven	12	4	4	4	+4	16
8	Heerenveen	11	4	1	6	+0	13
9	Groningen	12	3	4	5	-4	13
10	Heracles	12	2	4	6	-8	10
11	Twente	11	2	3	6	-11	9
12	Zwolle	12	2	2	8	-14	8
13	VVV Venlo	11	2	1	8	-18	7
14	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-15	6
15	Den Haag	11	2	0	9	-19	6
16	Waalwijk	12	1	1	10	-24	4
17	FC Emmen	12	0	3	9	-23	3
18	For Sittard	11	0	3	8	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.