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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Ajax

T S S T S

3–0

Full-time

Waalwijk

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 45%

76%

14%

Points per game

2,4

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

71%

73%

Both score Ø 56%

57%

55%

Average goals

3,9

3,4

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

0,9

2,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

6 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Waalwijk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	21	16	2	3	+43	50
2	AZ Alkmaar	22	15	2	5	+29	47
3	PSV Eindhoven	23	12	6	5	+24	42
4	Feyenoord	21	11	7	3	+11	40
5	Willem II	22	12	4	6	+5	40
6	Vitesse	23	11	5	7	+11	38
7	Utrecht	21	10	4	7	+12	34
8	Groningen	22	9	5	8	+4	32
9	Heracles	23	8	5	10	+3	29
10	Heerenveen	23	7	8	8	+1	29
11	Sparta Rotterdam	22	7	6	9	-4	27
12	Twente	23	7	6	10	-9	27
13	FC Emmen	23	7	5	11	-14	26
14	For Sittard	23	6	6	11	-22	24
15	VVV Venlo	23	7	3	13	-25	24
16	Zwolle	22	6	4	12	-16	22
17	Den Haag	23	4	5	14	-25	17
18	Waalwijk	22	3	3	16	-28	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	10	0	1	+31	30
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	2	1	+20	26
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	8	1	2	+18	25
4	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+11	24
5	FC Emmen	11	7	2	2	+9	23
6	Groningen	11	7	1	3	+9	22
7	Sparta Rotterdam	11	6	3	2	+11	21
8	Vitesse	11	6	3	2	+9	21
9	Willem II	11	6	3	2	+6	21
10	For Sittard	12	6	3	3	+5	21
11	Heracles	11	6	1	4	+11	19
12	Utrecht	10	6	0	4	+13	18
13	Twente	12	5	3	4	+2	18
14	VVV Venlo	12	5	2	5	-7	17
15	Heerenveen	12	3	7	2	+1	16
16	Zwolle	10	4	2	4	-2	14
17	Den Haag	12	2	5	5	-6	11
18	Waalwijk	11	2	2	7	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+11	22
2	Ajax	10	6	2	2	+12	20
3	Willem II	11	6	1	4	-1	19
4	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	+2	17
5	PSV Eindhoven	12	4	4	4	+4	16
6	Feyenoord	10	4	4	2	+0	16
7	Utrecht	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	Heerenveen	11	4	1	6	+0	13
9	Groningen	11	2	4	5	-5	10
10	Heracles	12	2	4	6	-8	10
11	Twente	11	2	3	6	-11	9
12	Zwolle	12	2	2	8	-14	8
13	VVV Venlo	11	2	1	8	-18	7
14	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-15	6
15	Den Haag	11	2	0	9	-19	6
16	Waalwijk	11	1	1	9	-21	4
17	FC Emmen	12	0	3	9	-23	3
18	For Sittard	11	0	3	8	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.