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Eredivisie
Referee: S Mulder
Utrecht
U S T S U
3–1
Full-time
Waalwijk
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Heerenveen 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Feyenoord 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Twente 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Vitesse 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Zwolle 3 1 1 1 +2 4
8 VVV Venlo 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +2 3
10 Heracles 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Groningen 3 1 0 2 -3 3
12 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 For Sittard 3 0 1 2 -4 1
14 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
15 Waalwijk 2 0 0 2 -4 0
16 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 -5 0
17 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Waalwijk
1–0 M. Mahi
D. Warmerdam
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. El Haddouti
↦ J. Efmorfidis
46′
🔁 V. Damaşcan
↦ F. Stokkers
59′
V. Damaşcan 1–1
A. Tahiri
U. Emanuelson 🔁
↦ M. Mahi
70′
D. Arzani 🔁
↦ B. Ramselaar
70′
71′
🔁 S. Sow
↦ L. Daneels
2–1 G. Kerk
74′
E. Elia 🔁
↦ O. Boussaid
76′
81′
🔁 C. Ngonge
↦ N. Olsak
3–1 S. van de Streek
D. Arzani
85′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-3
1 M. Paes G
17 S. Klaiber D
21 D. Warmerdam D
3 J. Hoogma D
25 T. St. Jago D
22 S. van de Streek M
10 S. Gustafson M
23 B. Ramselaar F
19 M. Mahi F
7 G. Kerk F
26 O. Boussaid M
Bench (11)
28 U. Emanuelson
15 D. Arzani
11 E. Elia
20 G. Troupée
13 E. Bergström
2 M. van der Maarel
24 O. Velanas
18 J. Lonwijk
16 T. Nijhuis
38 D. van den Berg
5 L. Guwara

Coach: J. van den Brom

Waalwijk

4-4-1-1
31 K. Lamprou G
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
34 L. Wouters D
4 V. Anita M
8 A. Tahiri F
6 N. Olsak M
21 L. Daneels M
9 F. Stokkers F
28 S. Bakari D
30 J. Efmorfidis M
Bench (10)
17 M. El Haddouti
99 V. Damaşcan
19 S. Sow
7 C. Ngonge
22 M. Grim
12 H. Mulder
15 L. Nieuwpoort
2 J. Gaari
20 T. Lutonda
1 E. Vaessen

Coach: F. Grim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,28
U
6,01
B
9,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,34
U2,5
3,21
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Mulder · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.