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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
Heerenveen
U T U U T
1–1
Full-time
Utrecht
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 14. · Utrecht 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vitesse 7 4 2 1 +3 14
2 Ajax 5 4 1 0 +14 13
3 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 1 0 +11 13
4 Twente 7 3 3 1 +4 12
5 Willem II 7 4 0 3 -1 12
6 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 2 2 +1 11
7 Heracles 7 3 2 2 -1 11
8 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 1 1 +9 10
9 Utrecht 6 3 1 2 +3 10
10 Feyenoord 5 2 3 0 +2 9
11 VVV Venlo 7 3 0 4 -4 9
12 Groningen 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Zwolle 7 2 1 4 -3 7
14 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 -1 6
15 Den Haag 6 2 0 4 -2 6
16 FC Emmen 6 1 0 5 -9 3
17 For Sittard 6 0 2 4 -8 2
18 Waalwijk 7 0 1 6 -17 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Utrecht
Hicham Faik 🟨
2′
18′
G. Kerk 0–1
L. Guwara
Joey Veerman 🟨
24′
26′
🟨 Simon Gustafsson
1–1 C. Ejuke
M. van Bergen
30′
Half-time 1–1
64′
🔁 R. Strieder
↦ S. van de Streek
65′
🔁 I. Abass
↦ A. Maher
67′
🟨 Sean Klaiber
Sherel Floranus 🟨
69′
A. Dreyer 🔁
↦ J. Odgaard
78′
81′
🔁 J. Bahebeck
↦ Adrián Dalmau
A. Halilović 🔁
↦ C. Ejuke
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
5 L. Woudenberg D
2 S. Floranus D
14 I. Drešević D
18 S. Botman D
6 H. Faik M
21 R. Kongolo M
20 J. Veerman M
9 J. Odgaard F
11 M. van Bergen F
8 C. Ejuke F
Bench (10)
17 A. Dreyer
10 A. Halilović
15 Đoàn Văn Hậu
23 F. Bednarek
24 T. Doornbusch
31 H. Akujobi
13 J. Bruijn
16 R. van Rhijn
3 D. Høegh
4 A. Skovgaard

Coach: J. Jansen

Utrecht

4-3-3
16 M. Paes G
14 W. Janssen D
5 L. Guwara D
17 S. Klaiber D
3 J. Hoogma D
6 A. Maher M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 S. Gustafson F
25 B. Ramselaar M
11 Adrián Dalmau F
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (11)
15 R. Strieder
21 I. Abass
9 J. Bahebeck
19 P. Joosten
28 U. Emanuelson
32 V. Černý
1 D. Jensen
20 G. Troupée
41 F. de Keijzer
33 T. St. Jago
2 M. van der Maarel

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,18
U ✓
3,80
B
2,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,49
U2,5 ✓
2,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.