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Eredivisie
Referee: K Blom
Waalwijk
T U S S T
1–4
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
25%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
42%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
0,9
2,1
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 10
5 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 11. · PSV Eindhoven 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 12 10 0 2 +40 30
2 PSV Eindhoven 12 8 3 1 +16 27
3 Vitesse 12 8 2 2 +13 26
4 Groningen 13 8 2 3 +4 26
5 Feyenoord 10 7 3 0 +15 24
6 Twente 13 7 3 3 +10 24
7 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 5 1 +9 20
8 Heerenveen 12 5 5 2 +5 20
9 Sparta Rotterdam 12 4 2 6 -1 14
10 Zwolle 13 2 7 4 -8 13
11 Waalwijk 12 3 3 6 -9 12
12 Utrecht 10 2 5 3 -4 11
13 Heracles 12 2 3 7 -11 9
14 For Sittard 12 2 3 7 -13 9
15 VVV Venlo 13 2 3 8 -19 9
16 Willem II 12 2 2 8 -12 8
17 Den Haag 12 1 4 7 -18 7
18 FC Emmen 13 0 5 8 -17 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk PSV Eindhoven
L. Daneels 🔁
↦ O. John
4′
11′
C. Gakpo 0–1
M. Götze
14′
M. Ihattaren 0–2
P. Rosario
Half-time 0–2
59′
🟨 Philipp Max
T. Lutonda 🔁
↦ P. Quasten
61′
A. Azhil 🔁
↦ V. Anita
61′
Cyril Ngonge 🟨
63′
67′
🔁 J. Piroe
↦ D. Malen
68′
🔁 N. Madueke
↦ C. Gakpo
J. Gaari 🔁
↦ S. Bakari
71′
71′
D. Dumfries 0–3
S. Sow 🔁
↦ R. van der Venne
72′
78′
🟨 Pablo Rosario
1–3 F. Stokkers
A. Azhil
86′
89′
🔁 A. Fein
↦ M. Götze
89′
🔁 J. Hendrix
↦ I. Sangaré
94′
🔁 F. Oppegård
↦ P. Max
95′
N. Madueke 1–4
A. Fein
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-3-3
31 K. Lamprou G
5 P. Quasten D
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
4 V. Anita M
10 R. van der Venne M
8 A. Tahiri M
11 O. John F
9 F. Stokkers F
28 S. Bakari D
7 C. Ngonge F
Bench (10)
21 L. Daneels
20 T. Lutonda
16 A. Azhil
2 J. Gaari
19 S. Sow
1 E. Vaessen
12 H. Mulder
99 V. Damaşcan
22 M. Grim
15 L. Nieuwpoort

Coach: F. Grim

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-2-2
38 Y. Mvogo G
31 P. Max D
28 O. Boscagli D
22 D. Dumfries D
33 J. Teze D
27 M. Götze M
6 I. Sangaré M
18 P. Rosario M
10 M. Ihattaren M
9 D. Malen F
19 C. Gakpo F
Bench (10)
29 J. Piroe
23 N. Madueke
11 A. Fein
8 J. Hendrix
35 F. Oppegård
4 N. Viergever
5 T. Baumgartl
16 V. Müller
13 L. Unnerstall
44 S. Sambo

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,39
U
5,22
B ✓
1,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Blom · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.