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Eredivisie

Referee: M Perez

Heerenveen

T U U U U

1–2

Full-time

Heracles

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 30%

42%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

58%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 7

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 8. · Heracles 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	10	0	2	+40	30
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Vitesse	13	9	2	2	+14	29
4	Groningen	13	8	2	3	+4	26
5	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+14	24
6	Twente	13	7	3	3	+10	24
7	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	5	1	+9	20
8	Heerenveen	12	5	5	2	+5	20
9	Sparta Rotterdam	12	4	2	6	-1	14
10	Zwolle	13	2	7	4	-8	13
11	Utrecht	11	2	6	3	-4	12
12	Waalwijk	13	3	3	7	-12	12
13	For Sittard	13	2	4	7	-13	10
14	Heracles	12	2	3	7	-11	9
15	VVV Venlo	13	2	3	8	-19	9
16	Willem II	12	2	2	8	-12	8
17	Den Haag	12	1	4	7	-18	7
18	FC Emmen	13	0	5	8	-17	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+19	18
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+12	18
4	Groningen	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Twente	7	3	2	2	+4	11
6	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+0	9
8	Zwolle	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+4	8
10	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	+2	8
12	Heracles	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Willem II	6	2	0	4	-5	6
14	Waalwijk	7	1	3	3	-5	6
15	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	VVV Venlo	7	1	2	4	-17	5
17	FC Emmen	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Den Haag	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Twente	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	3	1	+7	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	3	0	+6	12
6	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
7	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Heerenveen	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	Waalwijk	6	2	0	4	-7	6
11	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-8	5
12	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-13	5
13	VVV Venlo	6	1	1	4	-2	4
14	Zwolle	6	0	4	2	-8	4
15	Utrecht	5	0	3	2	-4	3
16	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	FC Emmen	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	Heracles	6	0	2	4	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.