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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Vitesse

S T S T S

2–1

Full-time

Heracles

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,7

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 13/15 matches

Win Ø 41%

54%

27%

Points per game

1,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

62%

40%

Both score Ø 51%

54%

47%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 8. · Heracles 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	11	3	1	+46	36
2	Feyenoord	15	11	2	2	+24	35
3	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	1	3	+16	34
4	Twente	16	8	4	4	+4	28
5	Utrecht	15	8	3	4	+11	27
6	Cambuur	16	9	0	7	-6	27
7	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	-1	22
8	Vitesse	13	7	1	5	-3	22
9	Go Ahead Eagles	16	6	3	7	-6	21
10	AZ Alkmaar	13	6	1	6	+5	19
11	Nijmegen	15	5	4	6	-4	19
12	Groningen	15	4	6	5	-4	18
13	Willem II	16	5	3	8	-14	18
14	Waalwijk	16	3	6	7	-8	15
15	Heracles	15	4	2	9	-6	14
16	For Sittard	16	3	3	10	-22	12
17	Sparta Rotterdam	16	2	5	9	-12	11
18	Zwolle	16	1	3	12	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	7	1	0	+17	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+13	21
3	Utrecht	8	6	2	0	+16	20
4	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+31	19
5	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+10	16
6	Twente	8	4	3	1	+4	15
7	Heracles	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Go Ahead Eagles	8	4	0	4	+2	12
9	Cambuur	8	4	0	4	-2	12
10	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	-1	11
11	Waalwijk	8	3	1	4	-5	10
12	Willem II	8	3	1	4	-7	10
13	Groningen	7	1	5	1	+1	8
14	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	+0	8
15	For Sittard	7	2	1	4	-11	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Zwolle	8	1	2	5	-5	5
18	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	8	6	0	2	+3	18
2	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+15	17
3	Cambuur	8	5	0	3	-4	15
4	Feyenoord	7	4	1	2	+7	13
5	PSV Eindhoven	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Twente	8	4	1	3	+0	13
7	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+0	11
8	Nijmegen	8	3	2	3	-4	11
9	Groningen	8	3	1	4	-5	10
10	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	3	3	-8	9
11	Willem II	8	2	2	4	-7	8
12	Utrecht	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Waalwijk	8	0	5	3	-3	5
14	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-7	5
15	For Sittard	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	AZ Alkmaar	6	1	0	5	-5	3
17	Heracles	7	0	1	6	-7	1
18	Zwolle	8	0	1	7	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.