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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
PSV Eindhoven
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Vitesse
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
2,2
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 65%
75%
55%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
92%
64%
Both score Ø 61%
67%
55%
Average goals
4,3
2,7
Scored
2,6
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
8 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Vitesse 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 12 8 3 1 +35 27
2 PSV Eindhoven 12 9 0 3 +11 27
3 Feyenoord 11 8 1 2 +14 25
4 Utrecht 11 7 2 2 +14 23
5 Vitesse 11 6 1 4 -6 19
6 Twente 12 5 3 4 +1 18
7 Nijmegen 12 5 3 4 -2 18
8 Cambuur 12 6 0 6 -5 18
9 Willem II 12 5 3 4 -5 18
10 Go Ahead Eagles 12 5 2 5 -5 17
11 Heerenveen 11 4 2 5 -3 14
12 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 0 6 +2 12
13 Waalwijk 12 2 5 5 -3 11
14 Heracles 11 3 2 6 -5 11
15 Groningen 12 2 5 5 -8 11
16 Sparta Rotterdam 12 2 4 6 -8 10
17 For Sittard 11 2 3 6 -12 9
18 Zwolle 12 1 1 10 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Vitesse
1–0 I. Sangaré
19′
25′
🟨 Loïs Openda
2–0 Bruma
Carlos Vinícius
30′
45′
🟨 Maximilian Wittek
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Huisman
↦ N. Frederiksen
46′
🔁 J. von Moos
↦ T. Buitink
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ Bruma
74′
80′
🔁 O. Darfalou
↦ E. Dasa
80′
🔁 R. Yapi
↦ R. Bazoer
M. Romero 🔁
↦ Carlos Vinícius
85′
D. Pröpper 🔁
↦ R. Dōan
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
16 J. Drommel G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
18 O. Boscagli D
27 M. Götze M
15 É. Gutiérrez M
17 Mauro Júnior D
6 I. Sangaré M
19 Bruma M
25 R. Dōan M
9 Carlos Vinícius F
Bench (7)
32 Y. Vertessen
20 M. Romero
14 D. Pröpper
8 M. van Ginkel
21 M. Delanghe
38 Y. Mvogo
4 A. Obispo

Coach: R. Schmidt

Vitesse

3-4-2-1
1 M. Schubert G
2 E. Dasa M
32 M. Wittek M
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
8 S. Tronstad M
7 L. Openda F
29 T. Buitink F
11 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (11)
40 D. Huisman
19 J. von Moos
9 O. Darfalou
27 R. Yapi
20 Y. Gboho
36 P. Vroegh
23 E. Verstappen
18 T. Hájek
22 T. Domgjoni
24 J. Houwen
16 A. Oroz

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,87
B
6,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.