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Eredivisie
Referee: A Bos
Zwolle
T T U U T
1–3
Full-time
Twente
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 28%
6%
50%
Points per game
0,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
31%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
38%
69%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 18. · Twente 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 12 1 3 +17 37
2 Ajax 16 11 3 2 +45 36
3 Feyenoord 16 11 3 2 +24 36
4 Utrecht 16 8 4 4 +11 28
5 Twente 16 8 4 4 +4 28
6 Cambuur 16 9 0 7 -6 27
7 Vitesse 15 8 2 5 -2 26
8 AZ Alkmaar 15 8 1 6 +9 25
9 Heerenveen 15 6 4 5 -1 22
10 Go Ahead Eagles 16 6 3 7 -6 21
11 Nijmegen 16 5 4 7 -5 19
12 Groningen 17 4 7 6 -6 19
13 Willem II 17 5 3 9 -17 18
14 Heracles 17 5 2 10 -5 17
15 Waalwijk 16 3 6 7 -8 15
16 For Sittard 17 3 4 10 -22 13
17 Sparta Rotterdam 17 2 6 9 -12 12
18 Zwolle 16 1 3 12 -20 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Twente
15′
D. Limnios 0–1
39′
M. Ugalde 0–2
M. Sadílek
Half-time 0–3
52′
V. Misidjan 0–3
M. Saymak 🔁
↦ B. van Polen
56′
60′
🔁 J. Bosch
↦ M. Vlap
60′
🔁 V. Černý
↦ V. Misidjan
R. Koolwijk 🔁
↦ R. Strieder
65′
S. Lagsir 🔁
↦ L. Adžić
65′
77′
🔁 R. van Wolfswinkel
↦ R. Zerrouki
78′
🔁 D. Cleonise
↦ M. Ugalde
G. Kastaneer 🔁
↦ S. Tedić
81′
G. Caschili 🔁
↦ T. van den Belt
81′
87′
🔁 D. Rots
↦ D. Limnios
1–3 S. Lagsir
E. Reijnders
89′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Zwolle

3-5-2
1 K. Lamprou G
2 B. van Polen M
4 Y. Nakayama D
34 M. De Wit M
3 S. Voet D
33 R. van den Berg D
13 R. Strieder M
20 T. van den Belt M
11 L. Adžić F
9 S. Tedić F
23 E. Reijnders M
Bench (10)
6 M. Saymak
37 R. Koolwijk
21 S. Lagsir
7 G. Kastaneer
18 G. Caschili
32 E. Mbinga
45 C. Landu
14 L. Fernandes
40 M. Hauptmeijer
16 J. Schendelaar

Coach: D. Schreuder

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 R. Pröpper D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
2 G. Troupée D
5 G. Smal D
23 M. Sadílek M
18 D. Limnios M
14 M. Vlap M
19 R. Zerrouki M
10 V. Misidjan M
27 M. Ugalde F
Bench (12)
32 J. Bosch
7 V. Černý
13 R. van Wolfswinkel
26 D. Cleonise
39 D. Rots
43 D. Đumić
35 M. Hilgers
36 L. Everink
40 C. Staring
17 J. Oosterwolde
22 J. de Lange
30 E. van der Gouw

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,55
U
3,28
B ✓
2,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,29
U2,5
1,62
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bos · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.