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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
Utrecht
S U T T U
1–1
Full-time
For Sittard
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 32%
42%
22%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
62%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
58%
56%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
18 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 10
5 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 6. · For Sittard 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 28 22 3 3 +69 69
2 PSV Eindhoven 28 21 2 5 +37 65
3 Feyenoord 28 18 4 6 +36 58
4 Twente 28 16 7 5 +11 55
5 AZ Alkmaar 25 15 3 7 +18 48
6 Utrecht 26 11 7 8 +9 40
7 Groningen 28 9 9 10 -4 36
8 Go Ahead Eagles 29 10 6 13 -8 36
9 Vitesse 23 11 3 9 -8 36
10 Nijmegen 28 9 8 11 -9 35
11 Cambuur 28 10 3 15 -16 33
12 Heerenveen 27 8 7 12 -10 31
13 Heracles 28 8 6 14 -8 30
14 Waalwijk 28 6 10 12 -13 28
15 Willem II 29 6 5 18 -29 23
16 Sparta Rotterdam 26 4 10 12 -18 22
17 For Sittard 27 6 4 17 -34 22
18 Zwolle 28 5 5 18 -23 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht For Sittard
1–0 B. Ramselaar
M. van der Maarel
5′
28′
🔁 T. Tekie
↦ B. Rienstra
30′
🟨 Deroy Duarte
Half-time 1–1
61′
Z. Flemming 1–1
M. Mahi 🔁
↦ T. Douvikas
62′
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ O. Boussaid
68′
S. van de Streek 🔁
↦ B. Ramselaar
69′
69′
🔁 Lisandro Semedo
↦ T. Noslin
73′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ C. Benschop
P. Almqvist 🔁
↦ Q. Timber
81′
87′
🔁 Ivo Pinto
↦ G. Cox
Willem Janssen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
92′
96′
🟨 Paul Gladon
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-1-4-1
16 F. de Keijzer G
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
33 M. van der Hoorn D
35 D. van der Kust D
6 A. Maher M
10 S. Gustafson M
23 B. Ramselaar M
27 Q. Timber M
26 O. Boussaid M
9 T. Douvikas F
Bench (11)
11 M. Mahi
29 M. Sylla
22 S. van de Streek
17 P. Almqvist
8 J. van Overeem
30 R. Balk
20 A. Zagré
3 T. St. Jago
31 T. Nijhuis
32 E. Oelschlägel
5 H. ter Avest

Coach: R. Kruijs

For Sittard

4-2-3-1
1 Y. van Osch G
33 D. Siovas D
2 M. Angha D
25 M. Tirpan D
35 G. Cox D
23 B. Rienstra M
10 M. Seuntjens M
6 Deroy Duarte M
9 C. Benschop F
8 Z. Flemming M
77 T. Noslin M
Bench (12)
14 T. Tekie
7 Lisandro Semedo
11 P. Gladon
12 Ivo Pinto
17 J. Botaka
32 F. Dornebusch
34 M. Verrips
22 A. Samaris
24 S. Baghdadi
18 N. Lonwijk
19 A. Ferati
29 R. Musaba

Coach: S. Ultee

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,51
U ✓
4,46
B
6,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.