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Bundesliga
Referee: B Brand
Wolfsburg
U S T T T
4–0
Full-time
Bielefeld
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Bielefeld
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 25%
32%
18%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
46%
32%
Both score Ø 41%
39%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 14. · Bielefeld 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 28 21 3 4 +56 66
2 Dortmund 29 19 3 7 +28 60
3 Leverkusen 28 15 6 7 +26 51
4 RB Leipzig 28 14 6 8 +30 48
5 Freiburg 28 12 9 7 +11 45
6 Hoffenheim 28 13 5 10 +8 44
7 Union Berlin 28 11 8 9 -4 41
8 FC Koln 28 10 10 8 -3 40
9 Ein Frankfurt 28 10 9 9 +1 39
10 Mainz 28 11 5 12 +8 38
11 Bochum 28 10 5 13 -10 35
12 M'gladbach 28 9 7 12 -13 34
13 Augsburg 28 8 8 12 -11 32
14 Wolfsburg 28 9 4 15 -16 31
15 Stuttgart 29 6 9 14 -17 27
16 Bielefeld 28 5 11 12 -16 26
17 Hertha 28 7 5 16 -32 26
18 Greuther Furth 28 3 7 18 -46 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Bielefeld
1–0 L. Nmecha
Y. Gerhardt
11′
25′
🔁 J. Laursen
↦ A. Andrade
32′
🔁 N. De Medina
↦ C. Brunner
2–0 L. Nmecha
Y. Gerhardt
38′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 M. Arnold
48′
4–0 M. Kruse
R. Baku
53′
55′
🟨 Joakim Nilsson
56′
🔁 B. Lasme
↦ J. Serra
56′
🔁 M. Okugawa
↦ P. Wimmer
56′
🔁 F. Kunze
↦ A. Schöpf
K. Mbabu 🔁
↦ M. Lacroix
73′
B. Białek 🔁
↦ L. Nmecha
73′
A. Vranckx 🔁
↦ M. Kruse
73′
F. Nmecha 🔁
↦ J. Wind
82′
K. Paredes 🔁
↦ M. Arnold
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

3-4-2-1
1 K. Casteels G
25 J. Brooks D
20 R. Baku M
3 S. Bornauw D
4 M. Lacroix D
27 M. Arnold M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
24 X. Schlager M
9 M. Kruse F
10 L. Nmecha F
23 J. Wind F
Bench (9)
19 K. Mbabu
21 B. Białek
8 A. Vranckx
22 F. Nmecha
40 K. Paredes
28 D. Lukébakio
12 P. Pervan
17 M. Philipp
15 J. Roussillon

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Bielefeld

4-2-3-1
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
2 A. Pieper D
30 A. Andrade D
19 M. Prietl M
8 A. Schöpf M
21 R. Hack M
20 P. Wimmer M
23 J. Serra F
18 F. Krüger M
Bench (9)
5 J. Laursen
15 N. De Medina
10 B. Lasme
11 M. Okugawa
16 F. Kunze
24 G. Bello
13 S. Kapino
3 Guilherme Ramos
7 G. Castro

Coach: F. Kramer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
U
3,88
B
5,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,87
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.