Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wolfsburg
Bielefeld
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | +56 | 66 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | +28 | 60 |
| 3 |
Leverkusen
|
28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +26 | 51 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +30 | 48 |
| 5 |
Freiburg
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
Hoffenheim
|
28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +8 | 44 |
| 7 |
Union Berlin
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | -4 | 41 |
| 8 |
FC Koln
|
28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | -3 | 40 |
| 9 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | +1 | 39 |
| 10 |
Mainz
|
28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | +8 | 38 |
| 11 |
Bochum
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 |
M'gladbach
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -13 | 34 |
| 13 |
Augsburg
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 |
Wolfsburg
|
28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | -16 | 31 |
| 15 |
Stuttgart
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -17 | 27 |
| 16 |
Bielefeld
|
28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -16 | 26 |
| 17 |
Hertha
|
28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -32 | 26 |
| 18 |
Greuther Furth
|
28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -46 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Baku
M
S. Bornauw
D
M. Lacroix
D
M. Arnold
M
Y. Gerhardt
M
X. Schlager
M
L. Nmecha
F
J. Wind
F
Coach: F. Kohfeldt
S. Ortega Moreno
G
A. Pieper
D
A. Andrade
D
A. Schöpf
M
R. Hack
M
P. Wimmer
M
J. Serra
F
Coach: F. Kramer
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Augsburg
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Leverkusen
Freiburg
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin
M'gladbach
Wolfsburg
B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.