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Ligue 2

Guingamp

T U U S S

2–4

Full-time

Toulouse

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 47%

32%

61%

Points per game

1,4

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

39%

61%

Both score Ø 57%

58%

55%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,1

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

16 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 6

7 Corners 2

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 7. · Toulouse 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	31	19	9	3	+44	66
2	Ajaccio	31	17	7	7	+13	58
3	Paris FC	31	16	8	7	+15	56
4	Auxerre	31	15	10	6	+14	55
5	Sochaux	31	15	9	7	+9	54
6	Caen	31	11	9	11	+9	42
7	Guingamp	31	10	12	9	-2	42
8	Pau FC	31	12	6	13	-2	42
9	Dijon	31	12	5	14	-2	41
10	Le Havre	31	10	11	10	-3	41
11	Amiens	31	9	13	9	+6	40
12	Niort	31	11	7	13	+0	40
13	Nimes	31	11	6	14	-6	39
14	Bastia	31	8	14	9	+2	38
15	Valenciennes	31	8	12	11	-10	36
16	Rodez	31	7	12	12	-10	33
17	Grenoble	31	9	6	16	-15	33
18	Quevilly Rouen	31	7	10	14	-18	31
19	Dunkerque	31	8	6	17	-15	30
20	Nancy	31	5	8	18	-29	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	16	11	4	1	+33	37
2	Paris FC	15	9	5	1	+14	32
3	Pau FC	16	10	1	5	+9	31
4	Ajaccio	15	9	3	3	+9	30
5	Sochaux	15	8	4	3	+6	28
6	Amiens	16	7	5	4	+13	26
7	Dijon	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Auxerre	15	7	4	4	+10	25
9	Caen	16	8	1	7	+10	25
10	Bastia	16	4	12	0	+8	24
11	Niort	15	7	3	5	+7	24
12	Guingamp	15	6	6	3	+4	24
13	Grenoble	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Le Havre	16	5	5	6	-2	20
15	Dunkerque	16	5	5	6	-2	20
16	Nimes	16	5	4	7	-3	19
17	Rodez	15	3	8	4	-2	17
18	Quevilly Rouen	15	3	7	5	-6	16
19	Valenciennes	16	4	4	8	-9	16
20	Nancy	15	4	4	7	-9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	16	8	6	2	+4	30
2	Toulouse	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Ajaccio	16	8	4	4	+4	28
4	Sochaux	16	7	5	4	+3	26
5	Paris FC	16	7	3	6	+1	24
6	Le Havre	15	5	6	4	-1	21
7	Valenciennes	15	4	8	3	-1	20
8	Nimes	15	6	2	7	-3	20
9	Guingamp	16	4	6	6	-6	18
10	Caen	15	3	8	4	-1	17
11	Niort	16	4	4	8	-7	16
12	Rodez	16	4	4	8	-8	16
13	Dijon	15	4	3	8	-5	15
14	Quevilly Rouen	16	4	3	9	-12	15
15	Bastia	15	4	2	9	-6	14
16	Amiens	15	2	8	5	-7	14
17	Grenoble	16	3	3	10	-14	12
18	Pau FC	15	2	5	8	-11	11
19	Dunkerque	15	3	1	11	-13	10
20	Nancy	16	1	4	11	-20	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.