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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

Waalwijk

S U T T T

3–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

25%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 71%

67%

75%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,9

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 9. · AZ Alkmaar 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+28	28
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	9	0	3	+22	27
3	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+17	27
4	Twente	12	8	2	2	+16	26
5	AZ Alkmaar	12	8	2	2	+10	26
6	Sparta Rotterdam	12	7	2	3	+11	23
7	Utrecht	12	5	3	4	-4	18
8	Heerenveen	12	4	5	3	+1	17
9	Waalwijk	12	3	5	4	+0	14
10	Nijmegen	13	2	8	3	-2	14
11	Go Ahead Eagles	13	3	5	5	-3	14
12	Excelsior	13	4	1	8	-17	13
13	For Sittard	13	3	3	7	-8	12
14	Groningen	13	3	3	7	-11	12
15	Vitesse	12	3	2	7	-13	11
16	FC Emmen	13	2	4	7	-14	10
17	Cambuur	12	2	2	8	-11	8
18	Volendam	13	1	3	9	-22	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+19	18
3	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5	0	2	+9	15
4	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+20	13
5	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+9	11
6	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Excelsior	6	3	0	3	-3	9
8	Waalwijk	6	2	2	2	+3	8
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Utrecht	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Groningen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	FC Emmen	6	1	4	1	-2	7
13	For Sittard	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Nijmegen	6	0	5	1	-1	5
15	Heerenveen	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Vitesse	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	Cambuur	7	1	0	6	-6	3
18	Volendam	6	1	0	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	AZ Alkmaar	6	5	0	1	+8	15
4	Heerenveen	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Utrecht	6	3	1	2	-3	10
6	PSV Eindhoven	6	3	0	3	+3	9
7	Nijmegen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Twente	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	3	2	-2	6
11	Vitesse	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Waalwijk	6	1	3	2	-3	6
13	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Cambuur	5	1	2	2	-5	5
15	Groningen	7	1	2	4	-9	5
16	Excelsior	7	1	1	5	-14	4
17	FC Emmen	7	1	0	6	-12	3
18	Volendam	7	0	3	4	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.