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KNVB Beker
Referee: S Teuben
VVV Venlo
U U U T T
0–3
Full-time
Heerenveen
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
6 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hoogeveen 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Hsc 21 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 FC Lisse 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 ROHDA Raalte 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Hoek 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Halsteren 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 GVVV Veenendaal 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Capelle 3 2 0 1 +1 6
12 Gemert 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +0 6
14 SC Genemuiden 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +5 3
16 Roda 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Excelsior Maassluis 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Kozakken Boys 2 1 0 1 +3 3
19 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Zwolle 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 Hercules 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 FC OSS 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 ASWH 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +1 3
29 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 't Zand 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 HHC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 HZVV 2 1 0 1 -2 3
39 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
40 URK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
41 ARC 2 1 0 1 -4 3
42 Groene Ster 2 0 2 0 +0 2
43 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Den Haag 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Heino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 De Foresters 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Katwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 VVOG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 VV Scherpenzeel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
51 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
52 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Rijnvogels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 De Graafschap 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Aalsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Mierlo-Hout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 ACV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Walcheren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Staphorst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 AWC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Juliana '31 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Sportclub 25 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 DVO 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Olde Veste '54 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -4 0
79 GOES 1 0 0 1 -4 0
80 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -4 0
81 Dongen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
82 Erp 1 0 0 1 -4 0
83 Velocitas 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VVV Venlo Heerenveen
L. Kromah 🟨
9′
21′
V. Sejk 0–1
M. Rivera
Half-time 0–1
L. Wehmeyer 🔁
↦ L. Kromah
46′
47′
R. Meerveld 0–2
J. Trenskow
Y. Schoonderwaldt 🔁
↦ T. Doornbusch
56′
T. Janssen 🔁
↦ N. Ait Mouhou
63′
D. Zandbergen 🔁
↦ J. Eijgenraam
63′
63′
🔁 M. Linday
↦ L. Brouwers
63′
🔁 E. Gurbuz
↦ J. Trenskow
73′
L. Verheij 1–2
own goal
D. Saddiki 🔁
↦ N. Foor
77′
80′
🔁 M. Egbring
↦ O. Braude
85′
🔁 N. Hopland
↦ M. Willemsen
85′
🔁 A. van Axel Dongen
↦ M. Rivera
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

1 T. Doornbusch G
2 S. Mokono D
3 L. Verheij D
33 G. Blancquart
5 L. de Blok D
20 J. Eijgenraam M
6 J. Kluskens M
27 L. Kromah M
25 N. Foor
11 N. Ait Mouhou M
8 D. van Oorschot F
Bench (11)
13 Y. Schoonderwaldt
22 Z. Taylan
31 M. Davis
15 T. Joosten
37 D. van Zutphen
46 J. De Graef
45 T. Janssen
17 D. Saddiki
47 D. Hendrix
7 L. Wehmeyer
9 D. Zandbergen

Coach: Peter Uneken

Heerenveen

22 B. Klaverboer G
45 O. Braude D
4 S. Kersten D
3 M. Willemsen D
28 H. Petrov D
6 J. van Overeem M
10 R. Meerveld M
8 L. Brouwers M
20 J. Trenskow F
27 V. Sejk F
7 M. Rivera F
Bench (12)
31 N. Bakker
44 A. Noppert
34 R. Bouw
15 M. Egbring
17 N. Hopland
19 V. Zagaritis
35 I. Ahmed
16 M. Linday
50 E. Gurbuz
33 J. Rijssel
9 D. Vente
26 A. van Axel Dongen

Coach: Robin Veldman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.