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KNVB Beker
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
1–4
Full-time
Zwolle
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Helmond Sport Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
3,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
3 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hoogeveen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Capelle 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Hsc 21 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 FC Lisse 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 ROHDA Raalte 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Hoek 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Halsteren 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Gemert 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 SC Genemuiden 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Excelsior Maassluis 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Kozakken Boys 2 1 0 1 +3 3
17 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Hercules 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 HHC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 ASWH 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
29 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 't Zand 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 HZVV 2 1 0 1 -2 3
35 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
36 URK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
37 ARC 2 1 0 1 -4 3
38 Groene Ster 2 0 2 0 +0 2
39 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Den Haag 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Heino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 De Foresters 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 VVOG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 VV Scherpenzeel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
45 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
46 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Rijnvogels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Aalsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Mierlo-Hout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 ACV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Walcheren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Staphorst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 AWC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Juliana '31 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Sportclub 25 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 DVO 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Olde Veste '54 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 GOES 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Dongen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Erp 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Velocitas 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Helmond Sport Zwolle
1–0 L. Daneels
A. Leipold
5′
22′
K. de Rooij 1–1
32′
S. Shoretire 1–2
T. Oosting
Half-time 1–2
T. Essakkati 🟨
51′
J. Ogenia 🔁
↦ A. Leipold
60′
L. Semic 🔁
↦ A. Et Taibi
60′
65′
🔁 D. Mbayo
↦ K. de Rooij
74′
T. Oosting 1–3
D. Mbayo
A. Dizdarevic 🔁
↦ T. Essakkati
79′
M. Lukowicz 🔁
↦ P. Llonch
79′
79′
🔁 S. Lagsir
↦ S. Shoretire
79′
🔁 G. Renwarin
↦ O. Aertssen
81′
🟨 G. Renwarin
84′
T. Oosting 1–4
S. Lagsir
87′
🔁 J. Pereira da Gama
↦ D. Ruward
87′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ K. Kostons
M. Ludwig 🔁
↦ N. Makanza
88′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Helmond Sport

1 M. Bergsen G
24 A. Et Taibi D
3 F. Van Den Eynden D
28 D. Vos D
5 T. Poll D
8 P. Llonch M
26 N. Makanza M
36 A. Leipold M
11 L. Daneels M
34 T. Essakkati M
9 L. Bajrami F
Bench (11)
23 K. Aben
21 H. Wentges
4 B. Koglin
2 J. Ogenia
17 L. Semic
22 A. Dizdarevic
41 J. Geerts
47 D. Geerts
19 H. Ingason
6 M. Ludwig
16 M. Lukowicz

Coach: Jurgen Seegers

Zwolle

16 T. de Graaff G
2 S. Floranus D
3 O. Aertssen D
4 A. Garcia MacNulty D
42 D. Ruward D
34 N. Fichtinger M
35 J. Monteiro M
7 S. Shoretire M
25 T. Oosting M
22 K. de Rooij M
10 K. Kostons F
Bench (11)
1 J. Schendelaar
41 D. Verduin
11 D. Mbayo
19 J. Faberski
20 G. Reiziger
21 S. Lagsir
26 J. Pereira da Gama
29 T. Buitink
38 G. Renwarin
43 L. Aelbers
45 J. Holtman

Coach: Henry Van Der Vegt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.