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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Costa

Benfica

S S S S S

4–0

Full-time

Famalicao

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Famalicao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

0,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 74%

93%

54%

Points per game

2,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

50%

77%

Both score Ø 49%

21%

77%

Average goals

2,8

3,6

Scored

2,4

2,0

Conceded

0,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+2,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 3

5 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 1. · Famalicao 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	14	13	0	1	+29	39
2	Porto	14	11	2	1	+23	35
3	Famalicao	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Sp Lisbon	13	7	2	4	+5	23
5	Rio Ave	15	6	4	5	+2	22
6	Guimaraes	14	5	6	3	+7	21
7	Tondela	14	5	4	5	+0	19
8	Sp Braga	14	5	3	6	-1	18
9	Boavista	15	4	6	5	-2	18
10	Gil Vicente	14	4	5	5	-2	17
11	Setubal	13	3	7	3	-3	16
12	Vitoria Setubal	13	3	7	3	-3	16
13	Maritimo	15	3	7	5	-8	16
14	Moreirense	14	3	6	5	-2	15
15	Santa Clara	14	3	6	5	-4	15
16	Belenenses	13	4	3	6	-9	15
17	Portimonense	15	2	7	6	-9	13
18	Pacos Ferreira	14	2	2	10	-14	8
19	Aves	13	2	0	11	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+19	21
2	Benfica	8	7	0	1	+17	21
3	Guimaraes	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Gil Vicente	8	3	5	0	+5	14
5	Rio Ave	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Famalicao	6	4	1	1	+5	13
7	Sp Lisbon	6	4	0	2	+4	12
8	Moreirense	6	3	2	1	+4	11
9	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	Setubal	7	2	5	0	+2	11
11	Vitoria Setubal	7	2	5	0	+2	11
12	Maritimo	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Santa Clara	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Boavista	7	2	3	2	-1	9
15	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	1	5	-3	7
16	Belenenses	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	Aves	6	2	0	4	-1	6
18	Portimonense	7	1	3	3	-3	6
19	Tondela	6	1	1	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Tondela	8	4	3	1	+4	15
3	Porto	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Sp Lisbon	7	3	2	2	+1	11
5	Famalicao	7	3	2	2	+0	11
6	Boavista	8	2	3	3	-1	9
7	Rio Ave	7	2	2	3	-2	8
8	Belenenses	7	2	2	3	-6	8
9	Guimaraes	7	1	4	2	-3	7
10	Sp Braga	8	2	1	5	-3	7
11	Portimonense	8	1	4	3	-6	7
12	Santa Clara	6	1	3	2	-3	6
13	Maritimo	7	1	3	3	-7	6
14	Setubal	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Vitoria Setubal	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Moreirense	8	0	4	4	-6	4
17	Gil Vicente	6	1	0	5	-7	3
18	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	1	5	-11	1
19	Aves	7	0	0	7	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.