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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Boavista

U U S T T

0–1

Full-time

Porto

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,0

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 55%

27%

82%

Points per game

1,4

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

55%

Both score Ø 36%

45%

27%

Average goals

1,5

2,7

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

0,6

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%

7 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

4 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boavista 8. · Porto 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	11	0	1	+22	33
2	Porto	11	9	1	1	+20	28
3	Famalicao	11	7	3	1	+7	24
4	Sp Lisbon	11	6	2	3	+6	20
5	Rio Ave	12	5	3	4	+3	18
6	Guimaraes	11	4	4	3	+5	16
7	Tondela	12	4	4	4	+0	16
8	Boavista	11	3	6	2	+2	15
9	Sp Braga	12	4	3	5	-2	15
10	Gil Vicente	12	3	5	4	-3	14
11	Santa Clara	12	3	5	4	-3	14
12	Moreirense	12	2	6	4	-2	12
13	Setubal	11	2	6	3	-4	12
14	Vitoria Setubal	11	2	6	3	-4	12
15	Maritimo	12	2	6	4	-5	12
16	Belenenses	11	3	2	6	-10	11
17	Portimonense	12	1	6	5	-8	9
18	Pacos Ferreira	11	2	2	7	-10	8
19	Aves	11	1	0	10	-14	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	6	0	0	+17	18
2	Benfica	7	6	0	1	+13	18
3	Famalicao	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	Guimaraes	6	3	2	1	+8	11
5	Rio Ave	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Gil Vicente	7	2	5	0	+3	11
7	Setubal	6	2	4	0	+2	10
8	Vitoria Setubal	6	2	4	0	+2	10
9	Sp Lisbon	5	3	0	2	+3	9
10	Boavista	5	2	3	0	+3	9
11	Santa Clara	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+3	8
13	Sp Braga	5	2	2	1	+0	8
14	Pacos Ferreira	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Maritimo	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Belenenses	5	2	0	3	-3	6
17	Tondela	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Aves	5	1	0	4	-2	3
19	Portimonense	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Tondela	7	3	3	1	+3	12
3	Sp Lisbon	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Famalicao	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Porto	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Rio Ave	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Sp Braga	7	2	1	4	-2	7
8	Portimonense	7	1	4	2	-4	7
9	Boavista	6	1	3	2	-1	6
10	Maritimo	6	1	3	2	-3	6
11	Guimaraes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Santa Clara	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Belenenses	6	1	2	3	-7	5
14	Moreirense	7	0	4	3	-5	4
15	Gil Vicente	5	1	0	4	-6	3
16	Setubal	5	0	2	3	-6	2
17	Vitoria Setubal	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	1	4	-9	1
19	Aves	6	0	0	6	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.