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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Costa

Famalicao

T U U T T

1–4

Full-time

Porto

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Famalicao Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,8

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,7

Scored

0,7

2,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

17%

75%

Points per game

0,9

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,1

2,6

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

42% Possession 58%

8 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 9

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Famalicao 15. · Porto 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	13	11	2	0	+22	35
2	Benfica	13	10	1	2	+15	31
3	Porto	12	9	1	2	+16	28
4	Sp Braga	13	9	0	4	+10	27
5	Pacos Ferreira	12	5	4	3	+3	19
6	Guimaraes	11	6	1	4	+3	19
7	Maritimo	13	4	2	7	-3	14
8	Santa Clara	12	4	2	6	-4	14
9	Rio Ave	13	3	5	5	-6	14
10	Gil Vicente	12	3	4	5	-3	13
11	Nacional	12	3	4	5	-4	13
12	Moreirense	12	3	4	5	-5	13
13	Belenenses	12	2	6	4	-3	12
14	Tondela	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Famalicao	12	2	5	5	-7	11
16	Portimonense	13	3	2	8	-8	11
17	Boavista	12	1	7	4	-8	10
18	Farense	12	2	3	7	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Benfica	7	6	0	1	+8	18
3	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+10	16
4	Sp Braga	6	5	0	1	+6	15
5	Pacos Ferreira	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	Moreirense	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Tondela	7	3	2	2	-2	11
8	Nacional	7	2	3	2	-1	9
9	Farense	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Rio Ave	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Portimonense	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Maritimo	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Belenenses	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Famalicao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Guimaraes	6	2	0	4	-5	6
17	Santa Clara	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Guimaraes	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Benfica	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Sp Braga	7	4	0	3	+4	12
5	Porto	5	3	1	1	+6	10
6	Santa Clara	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Boavista	7	0	6	1	-2	6
9	Belenenses	6	1	3	2	-2	6
10	Maritimo	7	2	0	5	-3	6
11	Rio Ave	7	1	3	3	-6	6
12	Famalicao	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Gil Vicente	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Nacional	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Portimonense	7	1	0	6	-8	3
16	Moreirense	6	0	2	4	-8	2
17	Farense	6	0	1	5	-7	1
18	Tondela	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.