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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Godinho
Famalicao
U U T S T
2–2
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Famalicao Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
25%
88%
Points per game
1,1
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
1,4
2,6
Conceded
2,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

35% Possession 65%
5 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
20 Free kicks against 21
6 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Famalicao 12. · Sp Lisbon 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 8 7 1 0 +16 22
2 Benfica 8 6 0 2 +9 18
3 Sp Braga 8 6 0 2 +6 18
4 Porto 8 5 1 2 +9 16
5 Guimaraes 9 5 1 3 +0 16
6 Pacos Ferreira 8 4 2 2 +2 14
7 Nacional 8 2 4 2 +0 10
8 Santa Clara 8 3 1 4 -1 10
9 Rio Ave 8 2 4 2 -2 10
10 Gil Vicente 9 2 3 4 -2 9
11 Moreirense 9 2 3 4 -3 9
12 Famalicao 8 2 3 3 -5 9
13 Belenenses 8 1 5 2 -2 8
14 Tondela 8 2 2 4 -8 8
15 Maritimo 8 2 1 5 -4 7
16 Boavista 8 1 4 3 -5 7
17 Portimonense 9 2 1 6 -6 7
18 Farense 8 1 2 5 -4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Famalicao Sp Lisbon
Leonardo Campana 🟨
8′
23′
🟨 Pedro Gonçalves
37′
Pedro Gonçalves 0–1
Luís Carlos
1–1 Gustavo Assunção
Bruno Jordão
43′
Riccieli 🟨
45′
Joaquín Pereyra 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Nuno Santos
Half-time 1–2
49′
Pedro Porro 1–2
M. Trotta 🔁
↦ L. Campana
60′
João Neto 🔁
↦ Rúben Lameiras
60′
Iván Jaime 🔁
↦ J. Pereyra
60′
63′
🔁 Tiago Tomás
↦ A. Šporar
Gustavo Assunção 🟨
68′
71′
🔁 Bruno Tabata
↦ Nuno Santos
Srdjan Babić 🟨
74′
80′
🟨 Pedro Gonçalves
80′
🟥 Pedro Gonçalves
Jhonata Robert 🔁
↦ Bruno Jordão
82′
Patrick William 🔁
↦ Riccieli
82′
82′
🔁 C. Borja
↦ Antunes
82′
🔁 Matheus Nunes
↦ João Mário
Jhonata Robert 🟨
83′
87′
🟨 João Palhinha
2–2 Jhonata Robert
89′
90′
🟨 Zouhair Feddal
90′
ℹ️ Sebastián Coates
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Famalicao

4-2-3-1
31 Luiz Júnior G
3 S. Babić D
15 Riccieli D
24 E. Herrera D
28 Gil Dias D
66 Bruno Jordão M
18 J. Pereyra M
12 Gustavo Assunção M
10 Rúben Lameiras M
22 C. Valenzuela M
13 L. Campana F
Bench (9)
29 M. Trotta
21 João Neto
17 Iván Jaime
11 Jhonata Robert
97 Patrick William
70 Jorge Ferreira
1 I. Zlobin
4 Henrique Trevisan
2 Dani Morer

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
1 Adán G
55 Antunes M
13 Luís Carlos D
4 S. Coates D
3 Z. Feddal D
24 Pedro Porro M
17 João Mário M
6 João Palhinha M
28 Pedro Gonçalves F
9 A. Šporar F
11 Nuno Santos F
Bench (9)
19 Tiago Tomás
7 Bruno Tabata
26 C. Borja
8 Matheus Nunes
52 Gonçalo Inácio
43 Marques
81 Luís Maximiano
72 Eduardo Quaresma
68 Daniel Bragança

Coach: Emanuel Ferro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,47
U ✓
4,25
B
1,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.