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Primeira Liga
Referee: Vitor Ferreira
Guimaraes
T S U T U
1–3
Full-time
Benfica
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 52%
36%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
48%
45%
Both score Ø 44%
39%
48%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 7. · Benfica 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 33 25 7 1 +41 82
2 Porto 34 24 8 2 +45 80
3 Benfica 33 22 7 4 +40 73
4 Sp Braga 33 19 6 8 +20 63
5 Pacos Ferreira 34 15 8 11 -1 53
6 Santa Clara 33 12 7 14 +4 43
7 Guimaraes 33 12 7 14 -5 43
8 Famalicao 33 10 10 13 -5 40
9 Moreirense 33 9 13 11 -9 40
10 Belenenses 34 9 13 12 -10 40
11 Gil Vicente 33 11 6 16 -8 39
12 Tondela 34 10 6 18 -21 36
13 Maritimo 33 10 5 18 -16 35
14 Portimonense 33 9 7 17 -7 34
15 Boavista 33 7 12 14 -11 33
16 Farense 33 7 10 16 -13 31
17 Rio Ave 33 6 13 14 -16 31
18 Nacional 33 6 7 20 -28 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guimaraes Benfica
25′
🔁 Lucas Verissimo
↦ J. Vertonghen
43′
🟨 A. Taarabt
Half-time 0–1
48′
H. Seferovic 0–1
D. Nunez
J. Fernandes 🟨
53′
58′
H. Seferovic 0–2
Gabriel
58′
🔁 D. Nunez
↦ Everton
58′
🔁 Pedrinho
↦ Chiquinho
59′
🔁 A. Taarabt
↦ Pizzi
Rochinha 🔁
↦ B. Duarte
61′
1–2 J. Fernandes
R. Quaresma
63′
A. Mumin 🔁
↦ A. Fonseca Amaro
68′
Andre 🔁
↦ A. Almeida
68′
73′
🔁 N. Tavares
↦ A. Grimaldo
O. Estupinan 🔁
↦ L. Foster
76′
Silvio 🔁
↦ Ouattara
76′
91′
Everton 1–3
A. Grimaldo
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-2-3-1
29 Matouš Trmal G
17 Falaye Sacko D
44 Jorge Fernandes D
6 Abdul Mumin D
28 Silvio D
11 André André M
19 Pepelu M
7 Marcus Edwards M
16 Rochinha M
10 Ricardo Quaresma M
31 Óscar Estupiñán F
Bench (9)
51 Jhonatan
91 Helder Sá
74 André Amaro
60 Zié Ouattara
5 Easah Suliman
70 André Almeida
25 Alhassan Wakaso
9 Bruno Duarte
21 Lyle Foster

Benfica

3-4-1-2
99 Odysseas Vlachodimos G
4 Lucas Veríssimo D
30 Nicolás Otamendi D
91 Felipe Morato D
2 Gilberto M
49 Adel Taarabt M
8 Gabriel Pires M
71 Nuno Tavares M
38 Pedrinho F
14 Haris Seferović F
9 Darwin Núñez F
Bench (9)
77 Helton Leite
82 João Ferreira
3 Alejandro Grimaldo
5 Jan Vertonghen
19 Chiquinho
7 Everton
21 Pizzi
28 Julian Weigl
88 Gonçalo Ramos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,37
U
3,69
B ✓
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Vitor Ferreira · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.