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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Silva
Santa Clara
S S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Gil Vicente
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
10 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Santa Clara 18. · Gil Vicente 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 +6 12
2 Porto 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Sp Lisbon 4 3 1 0 +6 10
4 Estoril 4 3 1 0 +5 10
5 Boavista 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Sp Braga 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Portimonense 3 2 0 1 +3 6
8 Gil Vicente 3 2 0 1 +2 6
9 Guimaraes 4 1 2 1 +3 5
10 Maritimo 4 1 1 2 -2 4
11 Vizela 4 1 1 2 -6 4
12 Tondela 4 1 0 3 -2 3
13 Pacos Ferreira 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Arouca 4 1 0 3 -6 3
15 Moreirense 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Famalicao 4 0 1 3 -4 1
17 Belenenses 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Santa Clara 3 0 1 2 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Gil Vicente
1–0 Rui Costa
Allano
12′
Rafael Ramos 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Bilel Aouacheria
58′
🔁 Murilo
↦ B. Aouacheria
59′
🔁 Matheus Bueno
↦ K. Fujimoto
Paulo Henrique 🔁
↦ Mansur
66′
Jean Patric 🔁
↦ Cryzan
66′
Jean Patric 🟨
69′
Allano 🟥
70′
70′
🟥 Rúben Fernandes
73′
🟨 Pedrinho
74′
🟨 Talocha
Ricardinho 🔁
↦ Rui Costa
75′
82′
🔁 Zé Carlos
↦ Talocha
82′
🔁 Marcelo Ribeiro
↦ Fran Navarro
Ricardinho 🟨
85′
87′
🔁 G. Aburjania
↦ Vitor Carvalho
João Afonso 🔁
↦ Anderson Carvalho
89′
Nené 🔁
↦ Lincoln
89′
93′
🟨 Giorgi Aburjania
96′
🟨 Lucas Cunha
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-2-3-1
99 Marco Pereira G
6 Mansur D
3 M. Villanueva D
2 Rafael Ramos D
4 K. Boateng D
8 Anderson Carvalho M
10 Lincoln M
25 H. Morita M
7 Allano M
23 Cryzan F
77 Rui Costa M
Bench (9)
16 Paulo Henrique
26 Jean Patric
98 Ricardinho
5 João Afonso
21 Nené
9 M. Bouldini
1 Ricardo Fernandes
76 H. Keyta
95 P. Sagna

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Gil Vicente

4-2-3-1
1 S. Kritsyuk G
26 Rúben Fernandes D
31 Talocha D
3 Lucas Cunha D
5 E. Hackman D
8 Pedrinho M
21 Vitor Carvalho M
10 K. Fujimoto M
7 B. Aouacheria M
9 Fran Navarro F
29 Samuel Lino M
Bench (9)
77 Murilo
57 Matheus Bueno
2 Zé Carlos
27 Marcelo Ribeiro
15 G. Aburjania
12 Brian Araújo
25 Jean Irmer
4 Diogo Silva
55 Henrique Gomes

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,63
U
2,98
B
2,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hugo Silva · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
32,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,56 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.