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Primeira Liga

Referee: W Delajod

Pacos Ferreira

S S T T S

0–0

Full-time

Sp Braga

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

12 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 9. · Sp Braga 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Porto	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Estoril	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Boavista	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Sp Braga	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Portimonense	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Gil Vicente	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Pacos Ferreira	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Guimaraes	4	1	2	1	+3	5
11	Maritimo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Santa Clara	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Vizela	4	1	1	2	-6	4
14	Tondela	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Arouca	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Famalicao	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Belenenses	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Boavista	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Vizela	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Tondela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sp Braga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Moreirense	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Estoril	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Portimonense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Porto	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Moreirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Guimaraes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Boavista	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Tondela	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Famalicao	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Arouca	2	0	0	2	-5	0
17	Santa Clara	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Vizela	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.