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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Gil Vicente
S T
1–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gil Vicente 12. · Sp Braga 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 4 3 0 1 +9 9
2 Sp Lisbon 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Benfica 3 2 0 1 +5 6
4 Famalicao 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Boavista 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Moreirense 4 1 2 1 +1 5
7 Tondela 4 1 2 1 +0 5
8 Portimonense 3 1 1 1 -1 4
9 Santa Clara 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Rio Ave 2 1 0 1 +3 3
11 Sp Braga 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Gil Vicente 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Aves 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Belenenses 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Setubal 3 0 2 1 -4 2
16 Vitoria Setubal 3 0 2 1 -4 2
17 Maritimo 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Pacos Ferreira 3 0 1 2 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gil Vicente Sp Braga
6′
⚽ Galeno 0–1
Rui Fonte
Half-time 0–1
Samuel Lino 🔁
↦ E. Banguera
46′
Arthur Henrique 🟨
48′
56′
🔁 Fransérgio
↦ Rui Fonte
56′
🔁 Trincão
↦ Galeno
Sandro Lima 🔁
↦ Z. Naidji
70′
72′
🔁 Ricardo Esgaio
↦ Caju
74′
🟨 Vitor Tormena
1–1 Sandro Lima ⚽
78′
Alex Pinto 🟨
82′
90′
🟨 Joao Novais
Leonardo Silva 🔁
↦ Lourency
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-2-3-1
33 Denis G
26 Rúben Fernandes D
5 Rodrigão D
13 Arthur Henrique M
2 Alex Pinto D
23 E. Banguera D
3 Soares M
6 João Afonso M
24 B. Kraev M
7 Lourency M
9 Z. Naidji F
Bench (7)
29 Samuel Lino
91 Sandro Lima
22 Leonardo Silva
30 Wellington Luís
44 Ygor Nogueira
16 J. Ruiz
99 A. Isaiah

Coach: Vítor Oliveira

Sp Braga

4-4-2
82 Eduardo
11 Diogo Viana D
4 Lucas Cunha D
95 Caju D
3 Vítor Tormena D
6 Claudemir M
17 João Novais M
18 Rui Fonte F
19 Murilo M
9 Koka F
90 Galeno M
Bench (7)
27 Fransérgio
77 Trincão
47 Ricardo Esgaio
60 João Palhinha
92 David Carmo
12 Tiago Sá
10 Bruno Xadas

Coach: Sá Pinto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,85
🔒
U ✓
3,55
🔒
B
1,73
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,03
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,77
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.