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Primeira Liga
Referee: David Silva
Maritimo
U U T U T
1–2
Full-time
Gil Vicente
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 17%
11%
22%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 14. · Gil Vicente 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 10 8 2 0 +18 26
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 +11 26
3 Benfica 10 8 1 1 +15 25
4 Estoril 10 5 4 1 +7 19
5 Sp Braga 9 4 4 1 +5 16
6 Portimonense 9 4 2 3 +2 14
7 Guimaraes 10 3 4 3 +2 13
8 Boavista 10 2 5 3 -3 11
9 Pacos Ferreira 9 2 4 3 -3 10
10 Gil Vicente 9 2 3 4 -1 9
11 Tondela 10 3 0 7 -6 9
12 Arouca 10 2 3 5 -6 9
13 Vizela 9 1 5 3 -7 8
14 Maritimo 9 1 4 4 -4 7
15 Moreirense 9 1 4 4 -7 7
16 Famalicao 9 1 3 5 -4 6
17 Santa Clara 9 1 3 5 -12 6
18 Belenenses 9 0 5 4 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maritimo Gil Vicente
Edgar Costa 🟨
-5′
28′
K. Fujimoto 0–1
Samuel Lino
32′
🟨 Fran Navarro
1–1 Bruno Xadas
Cláudio Winck
45′
Half-time 1–1
Cláudio Winck 🟨
50′
54′
🟨 Zé Carlos
I. Rossi 🔁
↦ Diogo Mendes
62′
A. Alipour 🔁
↦ Edgar Costa
62′
67′
Lucas Cunha 1–2
J. Tagueu 🔁
↦ Ricardinho
71′
R. Guitane 🔁
↦ Pedro Pelágio
72′
S. Beltrame 🔁
↦ Bruno Xadas
72′
80′
🔁 B. Aouacheria
↦ A. Léautey
80′
🔁 G. Aburjania
↦ Matheus Bueno
82′
🟨 Vítor Carvalho
84′
🔁 Élder Santana
↦ Fran Navarro
90′
🔁 E. Hackman
↦ K. Fujimoto
92′
🟨 Giorgi Aburjania
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Maritimo

4-3-3
48 Paulo Victor G
5 Zainadine Júnior D
2 Cláudio Winck D
94 Vítor Costa D
66 Léo Andrade D
16 Diogo Mendes M
17 Bruno Xadas M
60 Pedro Pelágio M
12 Edgar Costa F
7 André Vidigal F
25 Ricardinho F
Bench (9)
15 I. Rossi
9 A. Alipour
95 J. Tagueu
8 R. Guitane
10 S. Beltrame
45 Fábio China
24 Clésio
4 Matheus Costa
1 Miguel Silva

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Gil Vicente

4-2-3-1
1 Ž. Frelih G
26 Rúben Fernandes D
31 Talocha D
3 Lucas Cunha D
2 Zé Carlos D
11 A. Léautey M
21 Vitor Carvalho M
57 Matheus Bueno M
10 K. Fujimoto M
9 Fran Navarro F
29 Samuel Lino M
Bench (9)
7 B. Aouacheria
15 G. Aburjania
93 Élder Santana
5 E. Hackman
25 Jean Irmer
55 Henrique Gomes
4 Diogo Silva
17 Boubacar Hanne
42 Andrew

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
U
3,11
B ✓
2,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Silva · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.