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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Costa

Chaves

T S T T S

1–1

Full-time

Vizela

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Vizela

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

18 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

8 Free kicks against 19

5 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Chaves 10. · Vizela 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Boavista	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Guimaraes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Arouca	3	2	0	1	-2	6
6	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Estoril	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Chaves	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Vizela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Casa Pia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Santa Clara	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Rio Ave	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Famalicao	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Casa Pia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.