Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Vizela
Porto
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 |
Boavista
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 |
Sp Braga
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 |
Sp Lisbon
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 5 |
Porto
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 6 |
Estoril
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Gil Vicente
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Vizela
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Santa Clara
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 |
Casa Pia
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |
Portimonense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Chaves
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Maritimo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 |
Arouca
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 |
Rio Ave
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 |
Famalicao
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Raphael Guzzo
M
Samú
M
Kiko Bondoso
F
Coach: Álvaro Pacheco
Diogo Costa
G
João Mário
D
Z. Sanusi
D
Pepê Aquino
M
D. Namaso
M
Evanilson
F
M. Taremi
F
Coach: Sérgio Conceição
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Rio Ave
Vizela
Moreirense
Vizela
Vizela
Maritimo
Porto
Vizela
Vizela
Arouca
Fábio Veríssimo · 127 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.