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Primeira Liga

Referee: Tiago Martins

Sp Lisbon

S S S S T

3–1

Full-time

Gil Vicente

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Gil Vicente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 36%

29%

43%

Average goals

3,3

2,1

Scored

1,9

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%

16 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 2

8 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 8. · Gil Vicente 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	7	0	0	+16	21
2	Sp Braga	7	6	1	0	+18	19
3	Porto	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Portimonense	7	5	0	2	+2	15
5	Boavista	7	5	0	2	+0	15
6	Casa Pia	7	4	2	1	+4	14
7	Estoril	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Sp Lisbon	7	3	1	3	+3	10
9	Guimaraes	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Gil Vicente	7	2	3	2	-1	9
11	Chaves	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Arouca	7	2	2	3	-9	8
13	Rio Ave	7	1	3	3	-3	6
14	Santa Clara	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Vizela	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Famalicao	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	7	0	1	6	-10	1
18	Maritimo	7	0	0	7	-18	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Porto	3	3	0	0	+10	9
4	Portimonense	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Boavista	4	3	0	1	+0	9
6	Casa Pia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Sp Lisbon	3	2	0	1	+5	6
8	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Estoril	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Santa Clara	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Gil Vicente	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Arouca	4	1	1	2	-6	4
13	Rio Ave	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Famalicao	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Chaves	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Vizela	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Casa Pia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Porto	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Estoril	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Boavista	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Chaves	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Sp Lisbon	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Vizela	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Arouca	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Rio Ave	4	0	3	1	-3	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Famalicao	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Santa Clara	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.