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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Angers
T T T S S
0–3
Full-time
Marseille
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
2,3
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
16 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 14. · Marseille 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 7 1 0 +22 22
2 Marseille 8 6 2 0 +11 20
3 Lorient 8 6 1 1 +5 19
4 Lens 8 5 3 0 +9 18
5 Monaco 8 4 2 2 +1 14
6 Lyon 8 4 1 3 +6 13
7 Lille 8 4 1 3 +0 13
8 Rennes 8 3 3 2 +6 12
9 Montpellier 8 4 0 4 +4 12
10 Troyes 8 3 1 4 -2 10
11 Clermont 8 3 1 4 -4 10
12 Toulouse 8 2 2 4 -4 8
13 Nice 8 2 2 4 -4 8
14 Angers 8 2 2 4 -9 8
15 Nantes 8 1 4 3 -3 7
16 Auxerre 8 2 1 5 -11 7
17 Reims 8 1 3 4 -7 6
18 Strasbourg 8 0 5 3 -3 5
19 Brest 8 1 2 5 -10 5
20 Ajaccio 8 1 1 6 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Marseille
35′
J. Clauss 0–1
L. Suárez
Half-time 0–2
50′
L. Suárez 0–2
J. Clauss
59′
Gerson 0–3
J. Clauss
A. Salama 🔁
↦ A. Sima
67′
67′
🔁 V. Rongier
↦ D. Payet
67′
🔁 A. Harit
↦ Gerson
I. Amadou 🔁
↦ A. Hunou
75′
S. Thioub 🔁
↦ A. Ounahi
75′
H. Abdelli 🔁
↦ B. Mendy
75′
75′
🔁 S. Touré
↦ L. Balerdi
76′
🔁 C. Ünder
↦ J. Clauss
84′
🔁 B. Dieng
↦ L. Suárez
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
85′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Angers

4-4-2
30 Y. Fofana G
94 Y. Valery D
22 C. Hountondji D
5 M. Blažič D
3 S. Doumbia D
8 A. Ounahi M
2 B. Mendy M
6 N. Bentaleb M
7 S. Boufal M
19 A. Sima F
23 A. Hunou F
Bench (9)
11 A. Salama
17 I. Amadou
92 S. Thioub
10 H. Abdelli
15 P. Capelle
25 A. Bamba
28 F. El Melali
1 P. Bernardoni
31 I. Chetti

Coach: G. Baticle

Marseille

3-4-2-1
16 Pau López G
99 C. Mbemba D
5 L. Balerdi D
4 S. Gigot D
29 I. Kaboré M
27 J. Veretout M
6 M. Guendouzi M
7 J. Clauss M
8 Gerson F
10 D. Payet F
11 L. Suárez F
Bench (9)
21 V. Rongier
77 A. Harit
18 S. Touré
17 C. Ünder
12 B. Dieng
22 P. Gueye
70 A. Sánchez
36 Rubén Blanco
3 E. Bailly

Coach: I. Tudor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,44
U
3,85
B ✓
1,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.