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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Sp Braga

S S T S S

3–0

Full-time

Benfica

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

5,0

Scored

1,2

4,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+3,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 81%

69%

92%

Points per game

2,2

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

54%

69%

Both score Ø 35%

31%

38%

Average goals

3,2

3,4

Scored

2,2

2,8

Conceded

0,9

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%

15 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 8

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 3. · Benfica 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	13	12	1	0	+30	37
2	Porto	14	10	2	2	+26	32
3	Sp Braga	13	9	1	3	+17	28
4	Sp Lisbon	14	9	1	4	+14	28
5	Casa Pia	14	8	2	4	+4	26
6	Guimaraes	14	7	2	5	-2	23
7	Rio Ave	14	5	4	5	-2	19
8	Portimonense	14	6	1	7	-3	19
9	Chaves	14	5	4	5	-5	19
10	Arouca	14	5	4	5	-9	19
11	Vizela	14	5	3	6	+1	18
12	Boavista	13	5	2	6	-9	17
13	Estoril	13	4	4	5	-4	16
14	Famalicao	14	4	2	8	-5	14
15	Santa Clara	14	3	4	7	-3	13
16	Gil Vicente	14	3	3	8	-9	12
17	Maritimo	14	1	4	9	-19	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	14	0	2	12	-22	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	7	0	0	+20	21
2	Porto	7	6	0	1	+20	18
3	Sp Lisbon	7	6	0	1	+15	18
4	Guimaraes	7	5	1	1	+4	16
5	Rio Ave	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Boavista	7	3	2	2	-3	11
7	Sp Braga	6	3	1	2	+6	10
8	Casa Pia	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Portimonense	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Arouca	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Santa Clara	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Famalicao	6	3	0	3	+1	9
13	Gil Vicente	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Vizela	7	2	1	4	+0	7
15	Chaves	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Estoril	6	1	2	3	-6	5
17	Maritimo	6	0	2	4	-4	2
18	Pacos Ferreira	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	7	6	0	1	+11	18
2	Benfica	6	5	1	0	+10	16
3	Casa Pia	7	5	1	1	+3	16
4	Porto	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Chaves	7	4	0	3	-4	12
6	Estoril	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Vizela	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Sp Lisbon	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	Portimonense	6	3	0	3	-1	9
10	Arouca	7	2	3	2	-6	9
11	Guimaraes	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Rio Ave	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Boavista	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Famalicao	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Maritimo	8	1	2	5	-15	5
16	Santa Clara	7	1	1	5	-4	4
17	Gil Vicente	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Pacos Ferreira	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.