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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Cadiz
T S U T T
1–1
Full-time
Almeria
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
14%
36%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 47%
36%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
0,6
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 5
9 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 19. · Almeria 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 14 12 1 1 +28 37
2 Real Madrid 14 11 2 1 +19 35
3 Ath Madrid 15 8 3 4 +9 27
4 Sociedad 14 8 2 4 +2 26
5 Ath Bilbao 15 7 4 4 +10 25
6 Betis 15 7 4 4 +5 25
7 Vallecano 15 6 5 4 +4 23
8 Osasuna 14 7 2 5 +2 23
9 Villarreal 14 6 3 5 +5 21
10 Valencia 14 5 4 5 +7 19
11 Mallorca 15 5 4 6 -2 19
12 Girona 15 4 5 6 -2 17
13 Getafe 15 4 5 6 -6 17
14 Valladolid 14 5 2 7 -8 17
15 Almeria 14 5 1 8 -6 16
16 Espanol 14 2 6 6 -6 12
17 Celta 14 3 3 8 -12 12
18 Sevilla 14 2 5 7 -9 11
19 Cadiz 14 2 5 7 -17 11
20 Elche 15 0 4 11 -23 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Almeria
Fali 🟨
24′
Brian Ocampo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
24′
40′
Melero 0–1
Half-time 0–1
A. Lozano 🔁
↦ Álvaro Negredo
56′
Lucas Pérez 🔁
↦ T. Bongonda
56′
Carlos García-Die 🔁
↦ Fali
66′
68′
🔁 Adri Embarba
↦ L. Ramazani
José Mari 🔁
↦ Rubén Alcaraz
69′
Fede San Emeterio 🔁
↦ B. Ocampo
69′
76′
🔁 Samú Costa
↦ Melero
76′
🔁 Íñigo Eguaras
↦ L. Robertone
José Mari 🟨
81′
1–1 Lucas Pérez
Carlos García-Die
83′
89′
🔁 Dyego Sousa
↦ E. Touré
89′
🔁 Arnau Puigmal
↦ Léo Baptistão
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
20 Iza Carcelén D
23 Luis Hernández D
3 Fali D
22 A. Espino D
10 T. Bongonda M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
8 Álex Fernández M
14 B. Ocampo M
7 Rubén Sobrino F
18 Álvaro Negredo F
Bench (8)
9 A. Lozano
15 Lucas Pérez
30 Carlos García-Die
6 José Mari
24 Fede San Emeterio
21 S. Arzamendia
19 Álvaro Giménez
26 Victor Aznar

Coach: Sergio

Almeria

4-1-4-1
13 Fernando Martínez G
17 Alejandro Pozo D
21 Chumi D
22 S. Babić D
15 Sergio Akieme D
6 César de la Hoz M
12 Léo Baptistão M
5 L. Robertone M
3 Melero M
7 L. Ramazani M
9 E. Touré F
Bench (12)
10 Adri Embarba
23 Samú Costa
4 Íñigo Eguaras
11 Dyego Sousa
18 Arnau Puigmal
25 Diego Fuoli
2 Kaiky
24 H. Mendes
8 Portillo
14 Lázaro
16 M. Milovanović
20 Álex Centelles

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U ✓
3,18
B
3,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.