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Ligue 2

Referee: A Perreau Niel

St Etienne

S U T T T

1–1

Full-time

Caen

U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 29%

19%

38%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

69%

31%

Both score Ø 54%

63%

44%

Average goals

3,3

2,1

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

22 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 19. · Caen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	16	10	5	1	+19	35
2	Bordeaux	17	9	4	4	+11	31
3	Sochaux	17	9	3	5	+12	30
4	Grenoble	16	7	5	4	+2	26
5	Valenciennes	16	6	6	4	+1	24
6	Amiens	16	7	3	6	-1	24
7	Caen	16	6	5	5	+2	23
8	Guingamp	16	6	5	5	+1	23
9	Paris FC	16	6	5	5	-1	23
10	Metz	16	6	4	6	+3	22
11	Quevilly Rouen	16	5	6	5	-1	21
12	Pau FC	16	5	6	5	-4	21
13	Bastia	16	6	3	7	-5	21
14	Laval	16	6	2	8	-4	20
15	Annecy	16	5	4	7	-1	19
16	Dijon	16	4	6	6	+0	18
17	Nimes	16	4	3	9	-6	15
18	Rodez	16	3	6	7	-7	15
19	St Etienne	16	3	5	8	-7	14
20	Niort	16	3	4	9	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	9	6	2	1	+10	20
2	Bordeaux	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	Le Havre	8	5	3	0	+9	18
4	Caen	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Grenoble	8	5	2	1	+4	17
6	Amiens	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Valenciennes	8	4	4	0	+4	16
8	Metz	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Dijon	9	3	4	2	+3	13
10	Nimes	8	4	1	3	+2	13
11	Bastia	8	4	1	3	+1	13
12	Quevilly Rouen	8	3	3	2	+2	12
13	Pau FC	8	3	3	2	-1	12
14	Laval	8	3	1	4	+1	10
15	Annecy	8	3	1	4	-3	10
16	Guingamp	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	St Etienne	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	Niort	8	2	2	4	-6	8
19	Paris FC	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Rodez	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	9	5	3	1	+5	18
2	Le Havre	8	5	2	1	+10	17
3	Guingamp	8	4	2	2	+2	14
4	Rodez	9	3	3	3	+1	12
5	Bordeaux	8	3	2	3	+2	11
6	Sochaux	8	3	1	4	+2	10
7	Laval	8	3	1	4	-5	10
8	Annecy	8	2	3	3	+2	9
9	Grenoble	8	2	3	3	-2	9
10	Pau FC	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Quevilly Rouen	8	2	3	3	-3	9
12	Valenciennes	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Bastia	8	2	2	4	-6	8
14	Amiens	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Metz	7	2	1	4	+0	7
16	St Etienne	9	1	3	5	-4	6
17	Caen	8	1	3	4	-6	6
18	Dijon	7	1	2	4	-3	5
19	Niort	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Nimes	8	0	2	6	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.