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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Valladolid

T S T S S

0–2

Full-time

Real Madrid

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 58%

36%

79%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

50%

79%

Both score Ø 61%

36%

86%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

0,9

2,4

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 9

5 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 15. · Real Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	12	1	1	+28	37
2	Real Madrid	14	11	2	1	+19	35
3	Ath Madrid	15	8	3	4	+9	27
4	Sociedad	14	8	2	4	+2	26
5	Ath Bilbao	15	7	4	4	+10	25
6	Betis	15	7	4	4	+5	25
7	Vallecano	15	6	5	4	+4	23
8	Osasuna	14	7	2	5	+2	23
9	Villarreal	14	6	3	5	+5	21
10	Valencia	14	5	4	5	+7	19
11	Mallorca	15	5	4	6	-2	19
12	Girona	15	4	5	6	-2	17
13	Almeria	15	5	2	8	-6	17
14	Getafe	15	4	5	6	-6	17
15	Valladolid	14	5	2	7	-8	17
16	Celta	15	3	4	8	-12	13
17	Espanol	14	2	6	6	-6	12
18	Sevilla	15	2	6	7	-9	12
19	Cadiz	15	2	6	7	-17	12
20	Elche	15	0	4	11	-23	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Betis	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Ath Bilbao	8	5	1	2	+8	16
5	Almeria	7	5	0	2	+5	15
6	Osasuna	8	5	0	3	+3	15
7	Vallecano	7	4	2	1	+5	14
8	Valencia	8	4	1	3	+8	13
9	Valladolid	7	4	1	2	+2	13
10	Girona	8	3	3	2	+1	12
11	Ath Madrid	7	3	2	2	+3	11
12	Sociedad	7	3	2	2	-2	11
13	Villarreal	5	3	1	1	+5	10
14	Celta	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Getafe	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Mallorca	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Cadiz	8	1	4	3	-8	7
18	Espanol	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Sevilla	7	0	3	4	-7	3
20	Elche	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	0	1	+11	18
2	Real Madrid	7	6	0	1	+10	18
3	Ath Madrid	8	5	1	2	+6	16
4	Sociedad	7	5	0	2	+4	15
5	Villarreal	9	3	2	4	+0	11
6	Mallorca	8	3	2	3	-1	11
7	Ath Bilbao	7	2	3	2	+2	9
8	Vallecano	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Sevilla	8	2	3	3	-2	9
10	Osasuna	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Betis	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Espanol	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Valencia	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Girona	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Cadiz	7	1	2	4	-9	5
17	Valladolid	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Celta	7	1	1	5	-11	4
19	Almeria	8	0	2	6	-11	2
20	Elche	8	0	2	6	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.