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Primeira Liga
Referee: André Narciso
Boavista
S T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Portimonense
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 13%
25%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 2
17 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 6. · Portimonense 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 5 5 0 0 +11 15
2 Porto 5 3 2 0 +6 11
3 Sp Lisbon 5 3 2 0 +6 11
4 Estoril 4 3 1 0 +5 10
5 Sp Braga 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Boavista 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Pacos Ferreira 5 2 1 2 -2 7
8 Portimonense 4 2 0 2 +2 6
9 Gil Vicente 4 2 0 2 +1 6
10 Guimaraes 4 1 2 1 +3 5
11 Maritimo 4 1 1 2 -2 4
12 Vizela 4 1 1 2 -6 4
13 Santa Clara 5 1 1 3 -9 4
14 Moreirense 5 0 3 2 -2 3
15 Tondela 4 1 0 3 -2 3
16 Arouca 4 1 0 3 -6 3
17 Famalicao 5 0 2 3 -4 2
18 Belenenses 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Portimonense
38′
🟨 Wilinton Aponza
45′
Carlinhos 0–1
Fali Candé
Half-time 0–1
Y. Njie 🔁
↦ K. Gorré
46′
50′
🟨 Carlinhos
59′
🟨 Willyan Rocha
I. Vukotić 🔁
↦ S. Pérez
60′
61′
🔁 Renato Júnior
↦ W. Aponza
61′
🔁 Lucas Fernandes
↦ Ewerton
Gustavo Sauer 🟨
69′
Filipe Ferreira 🔁
↦ Y. Hamache
72′
P. Ntep 🔁
↦ Pedro Malheiro
73′
74′
🟨 Fali Candé
78′
🟨 Lucas Possignolo
Jackson Porozo 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 Aylton Boa Morte
↦ I. Angulo
Tiago Morais 🔁
↦ Gustavo Sauer
86′
87′
🔁 Filipe Relvas
↦ Fali Candé
87′
🔁 Luquinhas
↦ Anderson Oliveira
1–1 P. Musa
P. Ntep
92′
Rodrigo Abascal 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Boavista

3-4-3
1 Rafael Bracali G
26 R. Abascal D
25 Y. Hamache M
21 J. Porozo D
22 Nathan D
24 S. Pérez M
42 G. Makouta M
7 K. Gorré F
8 Gustavo Sauer F
9 P. Musa F
79 Pedro Malheiro M
Bench (9)
11 Y. Njie
18 I. Vukotić
20 Filipe Ferreira
36 P. Ntep
73 Tiago Morais
14 Tomás Reymão
99 João Gonçalves
10 Miguel Reisinho
13 Guito

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Portimonense

4-1-4-1
94 Samuel G
3 Lucas Possignolo D
18 F. Moufi D
44 Pedrão D
4 Willyan M
5 Fali Candé D
7 Ewerton M
76 Carlinhos M
70 I. Angulo M
39 W. Aponza F
11 Anderson Oliveira M
Bench (9)
91 Renato Júnior
8 Lucas Fernandes
77 Aylton Boa Morte
22 Filipe Relvas
20 Luquinhas
1 Ricardo Ferreira
6 Henrique Jocú
25 G. Imbula
21 Pedro Sá

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U ✓
3,09
B
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

André Narciso · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.