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Super League

AEK

S T S S S

3–0

Full-time

Aris

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,8

This season — Super League · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 61%

75%

47%

Points per game

2,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

45%

42%

Both score Ø 28%

30%

26%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

14 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 4

29 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match AEK 2. · Aris 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	20	15	3	2	+19	48
2	AEK	20	15	2	3	+31	47
3	Olympiakos	22	13	6	3	+23	45
4	PAOK	21	12	7	2	+19	43
5	Volos NFC	22	9	5	8	-10	32
6	Aris Thessalonikis	19	9	4	6	+14	31
7	Aris	19	9	4	6	+14	31
8	Atromitos	21	6	8	7	+0	26
9	Panetolikos	22	7	5	10	-5	26
10	OFI Crete	21	4	8	9	-8	20
11	Giannina	21	4	7	10	-18	19
12	Asteras Tripolis	21	3	9	9	-14	18
13	Levadeiakos	21	2	8	11	-15	14
14	Lamia	20	1	9	10	-28	12
15	Ionikos	20	1	5	14	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	11	8	2	1	+15	26
2	Panathinaikos	11	8	2	1	+8	26
3	AEK	9	8	0	1	+17	24
4	Aris Thessalonikis	10	7	2	1	+15	23
5	Aris	10	7	2	1	+15	23
6	PAOK	10	7	2	1	+9	23
7	Atromitos	11	4	6	1	+5	18
8	Volos NFC	11	5	1	5	-6	16
9	Asteras Tripolis	10	3	5	2	+2	14
10	Giannina	11	3	4	4	-9	13
11	Levadeiakos	11	2	5	4	-4	11
12	Panetolikos	11	3	2	6	-6	11
13	OFI Crete	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Lamia	9	1	4	4	-9	7
15	Ionikos	10	0	5	5	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	11	7	2	2	+14	23
2	Panathinaikos	9	7	1	1	+11	22
3	PAOK	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Olympiakos	11	5	4	2	+8	19
5	Volos NFC	11	4	4	3	-4	16
6	Panetolikos	11	4	3	4	+1	15
7	OFI Crete	11	2	5	4	-3	11
8	Aris Thessalonikis	9	2	2	5	-1	8
9	Aris	9	2	2	5	-1	8
10	Atromitos	10	2	2	6	-5	8
11	Giannina	10	1	3	6	-9	6
12	Lamia	11	0	5	6	-19	5
13	Asteras Tripolis	11	0	4	7	-16	4
14	Levadeiakos	10	0	3	7	-11	3
15	Ionikos	10	1	0	9	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.