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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Veríssimo
Sp Braga
S U S T S
1–2
Full-time
Famalicao
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Famalicao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,08 xG 0,73
60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Feb -23 Sp Braga – Famalicao 4–1 12. Aug -22 Famalicao – Sp Braga 0–3 15. May -22 Famalicao – Sp Braga 3–2 9. Jan -22 Sp Braga – Famalicao 2–2 15. Mar -21 Famalicao – Sp Braga 2–2

Match report

Sp Braga Famalicao
7′
🟨 Zaydou Youssouf
1–0 Ricardo Horta ⚽
9′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🔁 Óscar Aranda
↦ O. Liimatta
55′
🔁 Afonso Rodrigues
↦ A. Dobre
J. Mendes 🔁
↦ Víctor Gómez
59′
Álvaro Djaló 🔁
↦ André Horta
59′
64′
🔁 Henrique Araújo
↦ Pablo
64′
🔁 M. Topić
↦ Z. Youssouf
R. Zalazar 🔁
↦ Bruma
67′
Castro 🔁
↦ Vitor Carvalho
67′
67′
⚽ Afonso Rodrigues 1–1
73′
🟨 Gustavo Assunção
S. Banza 🔁
↦ Al Musrati
74′
81′
🟨 Luiz Júnior
Rodrigo Zalazar 🟨
83′
Cristián Borja 🟨
83′
86′
🔁 T. Lacoux
↦ Gustavo Assunção
88′
🟨 Jhonder Cádiz
Álvaro Djaló 🟨
95′
95′
⚽ Óscar Aranda 1–2
Riccieli
Serdar Saatçı 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
2 Víctor Gómez D
15 Paulo Oliveira D
5 S. Saatçı D
26 C. Borja D
8 Al Musrati M
18 Vitor Carvalho M
21 Ricardo Horta M
10 André Horta M
7 Bruma M
9 Abel Ruiz F
Bench (9)
17 J. Mendes
14 Álvaro Djaló
16 R. Zalazar
88 Castro
23 S. Banza
22 Pizzi
91 L. Horníček
6 José Fonte
20 Rony Lopes

Coach: Artur Jorge

Famalicao

4-2-3-1
31 Luíz Júnior G
32 Martín Aguirregabiria D
15 Riccieli D
13 Otávio D
74 Francisco Moura D
12 Gustavo Assunção M
28 Z. Youssouf M
77 Pablo M
18 O. Liimatta M
23 A. Dobre M
29 J. Cádiz F
Bench (9)
11 Óscar Aranda
17 Afonso Rodrigues
9 Henrique Araújo
8 M. Topić
6 T. Lacoux
22 Nathan
5 Rúben Lima
1 I. Zlobin
16 J. de Haas

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,43
🔒
U
4,61
🔒
B ✓
7,00
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,67
🔒
U2,5
2,19
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Fábio Veríssimo · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.