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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Musial
Piast Gliwice
U S T U U
2–1
Full-time
Rakow
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,5
Scored
0,3
2,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Piast Gliwice 15. · Rakow 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 3 2 1 0 +3 -3.1 7
2 Cracovia 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Zaglebie 4 2 1 1 +1 +0.3 7
4 Legia 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Pogon Szczecin 2 2 0 0 +2 +2.5 6
6 Jagiellonia 3 2 0 1 +1 +0.3 6
7 Rakow 2 1 1 0 +3 +2.0 4
8 Warta Poznan 3 1 1 1 +1 +0.8 4
9 Widzew Lodz 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.8 3
10 Radomiak Radom 3 1 0 2 -1 +0.7 3
11 Ruch Chorzow 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.3 3
12 Puszcza 3 1 0 2 -3 -2.8 3
13 LKS Lodz 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Stal Mielec 3 0 2 1 -1 -0.7 2
15 Piast Gliwice 3 0 2 1 -1 +4.2 2
16 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.7 1
17 Slask Wroclaw 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.7 1
18 Gornik Zabrze 3 0 1 2 -4 -2.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Piast Gliwice Rakow
3′
🟨 G. Berggren
17′
🟨 B. Lederman
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Jean Carlos
↦ S. Kittel
46′
🔁 M. Cebula
↦ B. Nowak
61′
🔁 F. Tudor
↦ S. Plavšić
61′
🔁 V. Kochergin
↦ B. Lederman
63′
🟨 V. Kochergin
G. Tomasiewicz 🟨
63′
71′
🔁 F. Piasecki
↦ Ł. Zwoliński
1–0 P. Dziczek
72′
T. Hateley 🔁
↦ M. Chrapek
79′
81′
V. Kochergin 1–1
D. Kądzior 🔁
↦ S. Krykun
87′
A. Katranis 🟨
92′
G. Kirejczyk 🔁
↦ Jorge Félix
94′
1–2 Z. Arsenić
own goal
94′
P. Dziczek 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 F. Piasecki
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Piast Gliwice

26 F. Plach
4 J. Czerwiński
98 A. Katránis
2 A. Mosór
6 M. Chrapek
20 G. Tomasiewicz
16 P. Dziczek
44 S. Krykun
77 A. Pyrka
19 M. Ameyaw
7 Jorge Félix
Bench (9)
24 T. Hateley
11 D. Kądzior
27 G. Kirejczyk
33 K. Szymański
5 T. Huk
3 Miguel Muñoz
29 M. Bykowski
22 T. Mokwa
14 J. Holúbek

Coach: A. Vukovic

Rakow

1 V. Kovačević
15 A. Kovačević
24 Z. Arsenić
4 S. Svarnas
93 S. Kittel
27 B. Nowak
5 G. Berggren
14 S. Plavšić
22 D. Sorescu
8 B. Lederman
9 Ł. Zwoliński
Bench (9)
20 Jean Carlos
77 M. Cebula
7 F. Tudor
30 V. Kochergin
99 F. Piasecki
6 S. Czyż
25 B. Racovițan
12 A. Tsiftsis
21 D. Drachal

Coach: D. Szwarga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Musial · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.