← Match Finder
Coppa Italia
Referee: G Aureliano
Genoa
S U S T S
4–3
Full-time
Modena
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Genoa Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -23 Modena – Genoa 2–2 17. Sep -22 Genoa – Modena 1–0

Match report

Genoa Modena
1–0 M. Retegui ⚽
M. Frendrup
1′
M. Thorsby ℹ️
VAR: Goal Disallowed
11′
29′
⚽ J. Manconi 1–1
L. Tremolada
32′
🟨 E. Duca
40′
⚽ L. Tremolada 1–2
A. Palumbo
Half-time 2–2
2–2 J. Vásquez ⚽
A. Guðmundsson
48′
M. Frendrup 🟨
48′
3–2 A. Guðmundsson ⚽
M. Retegui
51′
4–2 M. Retegui ⚽
S. Hefti
57′
58′
🔁 D. Falcinelli
↦ A. Palumbo
58′
🔁 M. Gargiulo
↦ N. Bonfanti
59′
🟨 M. Gargiulo
66′
🔁 T. Battistella
↦ E. Duca
66′
🔁 A. Guiébré
↦ T. Silvestri
69′
🟨 M. Cotali
77′
⚽ M. Gargiulo 4–3
M. Coda 🔁
↦ M. Retegui
78′
K. Strootman 🔁
↦ M. Badelj
78′
S. Sabelli 🔁
↦ Aarón Martín
79′
85′
🔁 F. Abiuso
↦ L. Tremolada
87′
🟨 J. Manconi
S. Hefti 🟨
91′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Genoa

16 N. Leali
3 Aarón Martín
14 A. Vogliacco
36 S. Hefti
22 J. Vásquez
5 R. Drăgușin
47 M. Badelj
2 M. Thorsby
32 M. Frendrup
11 A. Guðmundsson
19 M. Retegui
Bench (9)
9 M. Coda
8 K. Strootman
20 S. Sabelli
21 F. Melegoni
37 G. Puşcaş
24 F. Jagiełło
39 D. Sommariva
1 Josep Martínez
10 M. Aramu

Coach: A. Gilardino

Modena

26 R. Gagno
4 A. Pergreffi
15 T. Silvestri
19 G. Zaro
29 M. Cotali
10 L. Tremolada
16 F. Gerli
5 A. Palumbo
7 E. Duca
17 J. Manconi
9 N. Bonfanti
Bench (11)
11 D. Falcinelli
20 M. Gargiulo
23 T. Battistella
8 A. Guiébré
90 F. Abiuso
22 F. Vandelli
12 A. Seculin
32 L. Strizzolo
42 L. Mondele
33 C. Cauz
21 R. Giovannini

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Aureliano · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.