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Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
Burnley
U T S S S
0–3
Full-time
Man City
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,33 xG 2,08
34% Possession 66%
6 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Mar -23 Man City – Burnley 6–0 2. Apr -22 Burnley – Man City 0–2 16. Oct -21 Man City – Burnley 2–0 3. Feb -21 Burnley – Man City 0–2 28. Nov -20 Man City – Burnley 5–0

Match report

Burnley Man City
4′
⚽ E. Haaland 0–1
Rodri
23′
🔁 M. Kovačić
↦ K. De Bruyne
36′
⚽ E. Haaland 0–2
J. Álvarez
Half-time 0–2
J. Bruun Larsen 🔁
↦ L. Koleosho
61′
A. Zaroury 🔁
↦ Z. Amdouni
61′
B. Manuel 🔁
↦ J. Beyer
74′
75′
⚽ Rodri 0–3
79′
🔁 Aymeric Laporte
↦ N. Aké
79′
🔁 J. Gvardiol
↦ R. Lewis
80′
🔁 C. Palmer
↦ E. Haaland
N. Redmond 🔁
↦ L. Foster
91′
J. Brownhill 🔁
↦ S. Berge
91′
Anass Zaroury ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
93′
Anass Zaroury 🟥
94′
95′
🔁 J. McAtee
↦ K. Walker
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Burnley

5-4-1
1 J. Trafford G
14 C. Roberts D
28 A. Al Dakhil D
2 D. O'Shea D
5 J. Beyer D
22 Vitinho D
30 L. Koleosho M
16 S. Berge M
24 J. Cullen M
17 L. Foster M
25 Z. Amdouni F
Bench (9)
34 J. Bruun Larsen
19 A. Zaroury
10 B. Manuel
15 N. Redmond
8 J. Brownhill
18 H. Ekdal
7 J. Guðmunds­son
4 J. Cork
49 A. Murić

Coach: V. Kompany

Man City

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
2 K. Walker D
25 M. Akanji D
6 N. Aké D
82 R. Lewis D
17 K. De Bruyne M
16 Rodri M
20 Bernardo Silva M
19 J. Álvarez M
47 P. Foden M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (9)
8 M. Kovačić
14 Aymeric Laporte
24 J. Gvardiol
80 C. Palmer
87 J. McAtee
10 J. Grealish
18 S. Ortega
21 Sergio Gómez
4 K. Phillips

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,02
🔒
U
5,35
🔒
B ✓
1,35
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,65
🔒
U2,5
2,27
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.