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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Nice
S T U S S
1–1
Full-time
Lille
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,17 xG 1,33
40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Jan -23 Nice – Lille 1–0 31. Aug -22 Lille – Nice 1–2 14. May -22 Nice – Lille 1–3 14. Aug -21 Lille – Nice 0–4 1. May -21 Lille – Nice 2–0

Match report

Nice Lille
1–0 G. Laborde ⚽
T. Moffi
18′
Youcef Atal 🟨
35′
38′
🟨 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
Half-time 1–0
J. Lotomba 🔁
↦ Y. Atal
46′
Gaëtan Laborde 🟨
47′
48′
🟨 Tiago Santos
Khéphren Thuram 🟨
55′
E. Guessand 🔁
↦ G. Laborde
57′
P. Rosario 🔁
↦ K. Thuram
57′
S. Diop 🔁
↦ J. Boga
57′
61′
🔁 A. Gomes
↦ C. Baleba
67′
🔁 E. Zhegrova
↦ A. Virginius
H. Boudaoui 🔁
↦ T. Moffi
80′
80′
🔁 Y. Yazıcı
↦ H. Haraldsson
80′
🔁 G. Gudmundsson
↦ R. Cabella
94′
⚽ B. Diakité 1–1
A. Gomes
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
90 M. Bułka G
20 Y. Atal D
6 J. Todibo D
4 Dante D
26 M. Bard D
11 M. Sanson M
55 Y. Ndayishimiye M
19 K. Thuram M
24 G. Laborde F
9 T. Moffi F
7 J. Boga F
Bench (9)
23 J. Lotomba
29 E. Guessand
8 P. Rosario
10 S. Diop
28 H. Boudaoui
22 B. Bouanani
38 A. Amraoui
77 T. Boulhendi
37 R. Belahyane

Coach: F. Farioli

Lille

4-2-3-1
30 L. Chevalier G
22 Tiago Santos D
18 B. Diakité D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
31 Ismaily D
35 C. Baleba M
21 B. André M
26 A. Virginius M
10 R. Cabella M
7 H. Haraldsson M
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
8 A. Gomes
23 E. Zhegrova
12 Y. Yazıcı
5 G. Gudmundsson
16 A. Jakubech
40 T. Negrel
15 L. Yoro
34 A. Malouda
36 O. Touré

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
🔒
U ✓
3,42
🔒
B
2,76
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,88
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,94
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.