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Pro League

Referee: Jan Boterberg

Gent

S U S S T

1–4

Full-time

Charleroi

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

This season — Pro League · 31/32 matches

Win Ø 56%

58%

53%

Points per game

2,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

44%

Both score Ø 51%

58%

44%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

2,1

1,7

Conceded

1,1

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

5 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 8

3 Corners 4

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 2. · Charleroi 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	32	24	7	1	+48	79
2	Gent	31	18	7	6	+31	61
3	Charleroi	32	17	10	5	+30	61
4	Antwerp	31	16	8	7	+21	56
5	Standard	32	16	7	9	+19	55
6	Mechelen	32	16	5	11	+10	53
7	Genk	32	15	6	11	+9	51
8	Anderlecht	32	12	12	8	+13	48
9	Waregem	32	12	7	13	+4	43
10	Mouscron	29	9	9	11	-2	36
11	Kortrijk	32	10	6	16	-7	36
12	St Truiden	32	10	6	16	-17	36
13	Eupen	32	10	6	16	-23	36
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	28	8	9	11	-3	33
15	Cercle Brugge	32	9	4	19	-24	31
16	Oostende	32	6	5	21	-32	23
17	Beveren	28	5	5	18	-38	20
18	Waasland-Beveren	29	5	5	19	-39	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	16	13	3	0	+31	42
2	Club Brugge	16	13	3	0	+29	42
3	Charleroi	16	12	2	2	+20	38
4	Antwerp	15	11	4	0	+19	37
5	Standard	16	11	3	2	+20	36
6	Genk	16	10	1	5	+7	31
7	Anderlecht	16	7	6	3	+11	27
8	Waregem	16	8	2	6	+17	26
9	Mechelen	16	7	4	5	+5	25
10	Mouscron	15	6	5	4	+5	23
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	5	5	4	+4	20
12	Eupen	16	5	5	6	-4	20
13	Cercle Brugge	16	6	2	8	-6	20
14	Oostende	16	5	4	7	-6	19
15	Kortrijk	16	5	3	8	+0	18
16	St Truiden	16	4	6	6	-2	18
17	Waasland-Beveren	14	3	2	9	-18	11
18	Beveren	14	3	2	9	-18	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	Mechelen	16	9	1	6	+5	28
3	Charleroi	16	5	8	3	+10	23
4	Anderlecht	16	5	6	5	+2	21
5	Genk	16	5	5	6	+2	20
6	Antwerp	16	5	4	7	+2	19
7	Gent	15	5	4	6	+0	19
8	Standard	16	5	4	7	-1	19
9	Kortrijk	16	5	3	8	-7	18
10	St Truiden	16	6	0	10	-15	18
11	Waregem	16	4	5	7	-13	17
12	Eupen	16	5	1	10	-19	16
13	Mouscron	14	3	4	7	-7	13
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	4	7	-7	13
15	Cercle Brugge	16	3	2	11	-18	11
16	Beveren	14	2	3	9	-20	9
17	Waasland-Beveren	15	2	3	10	-21	9
18	Oostende	16	1	1	14	-26	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.