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Pro League
Referee: Lothar D'hondt
Club Brugge
U S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Charleroi
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 63%
73%
53%
Points per game
2,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
50%
47%
Both score Ø 44%
40%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

5 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 1. · Charleroi 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 22 7 1 +46 73
2 Gent 29 17 7 5 +29 58
3 Charleroi 30 16 10 4 +29 58
4 Standard 31 16 7 8 +21 55
5 Antwerp 30 15 8 7 +19 53
6 Genk 31 15 6 10 +10 51
7 Mechelen 31 15 5 11 +7 50
8 Waregem 31 12 6 13 +4 42
9 Anderlecht 29 9 12 8 +2 39
10 St Truiden 30 10 6 14 -11 36
11 Kortrijk 31 10 5 16 -7 35
12 Mouscron 27 8 9 10 -2 33
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 27 8 9 10 -2 33
14 Eupen 29 8 6 15 -20 30
15 Cercle Brugge 31 8 4 19 -25 28
16 Oostende 31 6 5 20 -30 23
17 Waasland-Beveren 27 5 5 17 -35 20
18 Beveren 27 5 5 17 -35 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Charleroi
1–0 É. Álvarez
H. Vanaken
1′
Half-time 1–0
M. Krmenčík 🔁
↦ L. Openda
59′
73′
🔁 F. Tsadjout
↦ M. Fall
82′
🔁 D. Henen
↦ J. Kayembe
87′
🟨 Marco Ilaimaharitra
M. Rits 🔁
↦ C. De Ketelaere
87′
D. Okereke 🔁
↦ E. Dennis
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Club Brugge

3-4-1-2
88 S. Mignolet G
2 E. Sobol D
77 Clinton Mata D
3 É. Álvarez M
17 S. Deli D
44 B. Mechele D
25 R. Vormer M
20 H. Vanaken M
90 C. De Ketelaere M
80 L. Openda F
42 E. Dennis F
Bench (7)
9 M. Krmenčík
26 M. Rits
14 D. Okereke
22 E. Horvath
35 P. Tau
15 M. Mitrović
18 F. Ricca

Coach: P. Clement

Charleroi

4-4-2
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
25 Nurio Fortuna D
4 M. Busi D
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
12 J. Kayembe F
27 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh
16 S. Nicholson F
Bench (7)
18 F. Tsadjout
7 D. Henen
20 J. Amani
6 G. Zajkov
5 M. Diagne
40 R. Descamps
22 G. Hendrickx

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,48
U
4,07
B
6,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lothar D'hondt · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.