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Pro League
Standard
S T T T T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 27%
20%
33%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
80%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 5/8 matches
Win Ø 23%
20%
25%
Points per game
0,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
80%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
3,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Standard 16. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 7 5 2 0 +9 17
2 Club Brugge 7 4 1 2 +12 13
3 Anderlecht 5 4 1 0 +7 13
4 St Truiden 7 4 1 2 +6 13
5 Gent 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 Waregem 5 3 0 2 +3 9
7 Genk 4 3 0 1 +3 9
8 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 2 1 3 -3 7
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 2 1 5 -4 7
11 Charleroi 5 1 3 1 -1 6
12 Westerlo 9 1 3 5 -9 6
13 Beveren 6 2 0 4 -9 6
14 Lokeren 6 1 1 4 -4 4
15 Kortrijk 5 0 3 2 -2 3
16 Standard 5 1 0 4 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1′
Y. Croizet 0–1
43′
J. Remacle 0–2
P. Ngawa
Half-time 0–2
F. Kasmi 🔁
↦ C. Brüls
46′
49′
🔁 D. Vandenbroeck
↦ O. Volovyk
B. Badibanga 🔁
↦ D. Andrade
57′
1–2 R. Emond
M. Dossevi
60′
I. Santini 🔁
↦ A. Knockaert
67′
73′
🔁 A. Cerigioni
↦ Y. Croizet
2–2 I. Santini
76′
78′
🔁 L. Trossard
↦ J. Remacle
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Standard

16 Y. Thuram
37 J. Van Damme
5 Jorge Teixeira
27 D. Andrade
17 M. Dossevi
14 C. Brüls
60 S. Yatabaré
6 M. Milec
23 A. Trebel
7 A. Knockaert
9 R. Emond
Bench (7)
8 F. Kasmi
12 B. Badibanga
18 I. Santini
15 J. De Sart
19 D. Dussaut
24 C. Fiore
28 G. Hubert

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26 R. Riou
29 P. Monteyne
28 O. Volovyk
4 R. Reynaud
5 P. Ngawa
16 K. Rougkalas
8 F. Le Postollec
12 K. Houdret
10 Y. Croizet
7 J. Remacle
27 K. Ojo
Bench (9)
3 D. Vandenbroeck
11 A. Cerigioni
19 L. Trossard
1 Y. Lenaerts
9 R. Regales
14 T. Azevedo
15 J. Bostock
22 S. Asamoah
25 N. Delporte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.