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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
Standard
U S U T S
3–0
Full-time
Eupen
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 10/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
50%
73%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
2,1
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 10. · Eupen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 10 8 1 1 +10 25
2 Genk 10 7 3 0 +17 24
3 St Truiden 15 6 6 3 +6 24
4 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +16 23
5 Anderlecht 10 7 2 1 +12 23
6 Gent 10 7 1 2 +12 22
7 Charleroi 15 6 2 7 +0 20
8 Cercle Brugge 15 5 4 6 -8 19
9 Oostende 15 5 3 7 -12 18
10 Standard 10 4 4 2 +5 16
11 Kortrijk 15 4 4 7 -6 16
12 Eupen 15 5 1 9 -12 16
13 Waregem 16 4 3 9 -10 15
14 Beveren 15 1 8 6 -6 11
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 2 4 9 -11 10
16 Lokeren 15 2 4 9 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Eupen
16′
🟨 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
1–0 Miloš Kosanović
19′
Uche Agbo 🔁
↦ Samuel Bastien
30′
2–0 Paul-José Mpoku
39′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Danijel Miličević
↦ Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
56′
🟨 Remi Mulumba
62′
🔁 Ivan Yagan
↦ Eric Ocansey
Moussa Djenepo 🔁
↦ Gojko Cimirot
65′
66′
🔁 Yuta Toyokawa
↦ David Pollet
Moussa Djenepo 🟨
70′
3–0 Paul-José Mpoku
Moussa Djenepo
79′
Orlando Sá 🟨
82′
Obbi Oulare 🔁
↦ Mehdi Carcela-González
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Standard

4-2-3-1
13 Guillermo Ochoa G
21 Collins Fai D
3 Zinho Vanheüsden D
6 Miloš Kosanović D
34 Konstantinos Laifis D
8 Gojko Cimirot M
28 Samuel Bastien M
40 Paul-José Mpoku F
10 Mehdi Carcela-González M
22 Maxime Lestienne M
7 Orlando Sá F
Bench (8)
1 Jean-Francois Gillet
2 Reginal Goreux
15 Sebastien Pocognoli
19 Moussa Djenepo
31 William Balikwisha
5 Uche Agbo
23 Senna Miangue
17 Obbi Oulare

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Eupen

4-2-3-1
1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge G
44 Xavier Molina D
25 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga D
22 Siebe Blondelle D
24 Silas Gnaka D
6 Remi Mulumba M
15 Sulayman Marreh M
70 Mamadou Fall F
10 Luis Garcia F
28 Eric Ocansey F
9 David Pollet F
Bench (7)
30 Babacar Niasse Mbaye
4 Jordan Lotiès
14 Alessio Castro-Montes
11 Megan Laurent
77 Danijel Miličević
20 Yuta Toyokawa
31 Ivan Yagan

Coach: C. Makélélé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.